提出可精准校准的数据中心动态负载模型,解决传统模型失真问题。
Dynamic Load Model for Data Centers with Pattern-Consistent Calibration
- 结合物理模型结构与数据驱动校准,用时序对比学习对齐统计模式。
- 实测数据校准后显著改善恢复行为模拟,避免未校准模型的延迟稳定缺陷。
- 本地化校准保护隐私,适合电网规划与数据中心协同设计者使用。
数据中心的快速扩张使得大电子负载(LEL)建模在电力系统分析中愈发重要。这类负载具有由工作负载驱动的快速变化以及保护机制引发的断开-重连行为,传统模型难以刻画。现有物理模型缺乏设施级校准,数据驱动方法常因轨迹对齐导致过拟合和不真实动态。为此,本文设计框架:以物理结构为基础,参数化后通过真实运行数据进行模式一致校准,支持设施级电网规划。由于数据中心负载本质随机,轨迹级对齐效果有限,因此采用时序对比学习(TCL)对齐时间与统计模式。校准在设施本地完成,仅共享参数,保障数据隐私。模型基于MIT Supercloud、ASU Sol、Blue Waters及ASHRAE数据集校准,并集成至ANDES平台,在IEEE 39-bus、NPCC 140-bus与WECC 179-bus系统上评估。结果表明,多个LEL间的相互作用会根本性改变扰动后的恢复行为,产生复合断开-重连动态与延迟稳定,而未校准模型无法捕捉此现象。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
The rapid growth of data centers has made large electronic load (LEL) modeling increasingly important for power system analysis. Such loads are characterized by fast workload-driven variability and protection-driven disconnection and reconnection behavior that are not captured by conventional load models. Existing data center load modeling includes physics-based approaches, which provide interpretable structure for grid simulation, and data-driven approaches, which capture empirical workload variability from data. However, physics-based models are typically uncalibrated to facility-level operation, while trajectory alignment in data-driven methods often leads to overfitting and unrealistic dynamic behavior. To resolve these limitations, we design the framework to leverage both physics-based structure and data-driven adaptability. The physics-based structure is parameterized to enable data-driven pattern-consistent calibration from real operational data, supporting facility-level grid planning. We further show that trajectory-level alignment is limited for inherently stochastic data center loads. Therefore, we design the calibration to align temporal and statistical patterns using temporal contrastive learning (TCL). This calibration is performed locally at the facility, and only calibrated parameters are shared with utilities, preserving data privacy. The proposed load model is calibrated by real-world operational load data from the MIT Supercloud, ASU Sol, Blue Waters, and ASHRAE datasets. Then it is integrated into the ANDES platform and evaluated on the IEEE 39-bus, NPCC 140-bus, and WECC 179-bus systems. We find that interactions among LELs can fundamentally alter post-disturbance recovery behavior, producing compound disconnection-reconnection dynamics and delayed stabilization that are not captured by uncalibrated load models.
Thank you to arXiv for use of its open access interoperability. PaperDance 不是 arXiv 官方产品;中文卡片由大模型生成,请以原文为准。