arXiv:2602.11917cs.AI2026-02被引 3

用图结构导航因子挖掘,提升选股模型的效率与稳定性。

AlphaPROBE: Alpha Mining via Principled Retrieval and On-graph biased evolution

  • 将因子视为节点,演化关系建模为有向无环图,实现全局优化。
  • 在3个中国股市数据集上超越8个基线,预测准确率与收益稳定性显著提升。
  • 适合量化金融研究者和自动化策略开发者使用。

通过阿尔法因子挖掘提取信号是量化金融中的基础挑战。现有自动化方法主要遵循两种范式:解耦因子生成(将因子发现视为孤立事件)和迭代因子演化(聚焦局部父子优化)。但两者均缺乏全局结构视角,常将因子池视为无结构集合或碎片化链条,导致搜索冗余且多样性受限。为此,我们提出AlphaPROBE(基于原则性检索与图上偏差演化的阿尔法挖掘),将阿尔法挖掘重构为有向无环图(DAG)的战略导航。通过将因子作为节点、演化关系作为边,构建动态互联的因子生态系统。框架包含两个核心组件:基于贝叶斯的概率因子检索器,通过后验概率模型平衡利用与探索;以及面向图结构的因子生成器,利用因子完整的祖先路径生成上下文感知、非冗余的优化结果。在三个主要中国股票市场数据集上对8个竞争基线进行的大量实验表明,AlphaPROBE在预测准确性、收益稳定性和训练效率方面均有显著提升。结果证实,利用全局演化拓扑对高效且稳健的自动化阿尔法发现至关重要。代码已开源:https://github.com/gta0804/AlphaPROBE。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Extracting signals through alpha factor mining is a fundamental challenge in quantitative finance. Existing automated methods primarily follow two paradigms: Decoupled Factor Generation, which treats factor discovery as isolated events, and Iterative Factor Evolution, which focuses on local parent-child refinements. However, both paradigms lack a global structural view, often treating factor pools as unstructured collections or fragmented chains, which leads to redundant search and limited diversity. To address these limitations, we introduce AlphaPROBE (Alpha Mining via Principled Retrieval and On-graph Biased Evolution), a framework that reframes alpha mining as the strategic navigation of a Directed Acyclic Graph (DAG). By modeling factors as nodes and evolutionary links as edges, AlphaPROBE treats the factor pool as a dynamic, interconnected ecosystem. The framework consists of two core components: a Bayesian Factor Retriever that identifies high-potential seeds by balancing exploitation and exploration through a posterior probability model, and a DAG-aware Factor Generator that leverages the full ancestral trace of factors to produce context-aware, nonredundant optimizations. Extensive experiments on three major Chinese stock market datasets against 8 competitive baselines demonstrate that AlphaPROBE significantly gains enhanced performance in predictive accuracy, return stability and training efficiency. Our results confirm that leveraging global evolutionary topology is essential for efficient and robust automated alpha discovery. We have open-sourced our implementation at https://github.com/gta0804/AlphaPROBE.

量化金融因子挖掘图神经网络机器学习

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