为政府选择自建或采购大模型提供决策框架
Buy versus Build an LLM: A Decision Framework for Governments
- 从主权、安全、成本等维度评估买与建的优劣
- 强调关键任务应自主可控,非敏感领域可外购
- 适合制定AI战略的政策制定者参考
大型语言模型(LLMs)已成为数字基础设施新前沿,可支持从公民服务到敏感政务等多种公共应用。政府在拓展AI能力时面临购买现成服务、自建本土能力或采用混合模式的选择。这些决策尤为关键,因主流模型常由外国企业掌控,且其输出正被用于公共决策和舆论引导。实践中,国家AI战略通常是多元并存的:主权、商业和开源模型共存于不同场景。政府可在非敏感任务中依赖商业模型,而在关键、高风险或战略性应用中追求更高控制权。本文提出一个战略框架,从主权、安全、成本、资源能力、文化适配和可持续性等维度评估不同路径。值得注意的是,‘自建’不意味着政府单打独斗,可通过研究机构、高校、国企、合资企业或国家生态体系共同推进。通过厘清各路径的技术要求与实践挑战,本研究旨在为政策制定者判断‘买’还是‘建’是否契合本国需求与社会目标提供参考。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Large Language Models (LLMs) represent a new frontier of digital infrastructure that can support a wide range of public-sector applications, from general purpose citizen services to specialized and sensitive state functions. When expanding AI access, governments face a set of strategic choices over whether to buy existing services, build domestic capabilities, or adopt hybrid approaches across different domains and use cases. These are critical decisions especially when leading model providers are often foreign corporations, and LLM outputs are increasingly treated as trusted inputs to public decision-making and public discourse. In practice, these decisions are not intended to mandate a single approach across all domains; instead, national AI strategies are typically pluralistic, with sovereign, commercial and open-source models coexisting to serve different purposes. Governments may rely on commercial models for non-sensitive or commodity tasks, while pursuing greater control for critical, high-risk or strategically important applications. This paper provides a strategic framework for making this decision by evaluating these options across dimensions including sovereignty, safety, cost, resource capability, cultural fit, and sustainability. Importantly, "building" does not imply that governments must act alone: domestic capabilities may be developed through public research institutions, universities, state-owned enterprises, joint ventures, or broader national ecosystems. By detailing the technical requirements and practical challenges of each pathway, this work aims to serve as a reference for policy-makers to determine whether a buy or build approach best aligns with their specific national needs and societal goals.
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