无需目标城市轨迹数据,用公交时刻表生成真实出行路径。
Bus-Conditioned Zero-Shot Trajectory Generation via Task Arithmetic
- 用任务向量算术模拟城市间出行模式差异,迁移源城市数据。
- 在无目标城市数据下,生成轨迹质量接近微调模型。
- 适合缺乏真实轨迹数据的智慧城市应用开发人员。
出行轨迹数据为智慧城市建设提供关键支持,但往往难以获取。现有轨迹生成方法通常隐含依赖目标城市的真实轨迹数据,限制了其在数据不可达场景的应用。本文提出新问题设定:基于公交时刻表的零样本轨迹生成,即不使用目标城市任何真实出行轨迹。该方法仅依赖源城市出行数据与两城公开的公交时刻表。我们提出MobTA,首个将任务算术引入轨迹生成的方法。MobTA建模从公交时刻表生成到源城市出行轨迹的参数变化,通过任务向量的算术操作将其迁移到目标城市,实现反映目标城市出行模式的轨迹生成,且无需目标城市真实数据。理论分析表明,该方法在基础和指令微调大模型上均具稳定性。大量实验显示,MobTA显著优于现有方法,性能接近使用目标城市轨迹微调的模型。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Mobility trajectory data provide essential support for smart city applications. However, such data are often difficult to obtain. Meanwhile, most existing trajectory generation methods implicitly assume that at least a subset of real mobility data from target city is available, which limits their applicability in data-inaccessible scenarios. In this work, we propose a new problem setting, called bus-conditioned zero-shot trajectory generation, where no mobility trajectories from a target city are accessible. The generation process relies solely on source city mobility data and publicly available bus timetables from both cities. Under this setting, we propose MobTA, the first approach to introduce task arithmetic into trajectory generation. MobTA models the parameter shift from bus-timetable-based trajectory generation to mobility trajectory generation in source city, and applies this shift to target city through arithmetic operations on task vectors. This enables trajectory generation that reflects target-city mobility patterns without requiring any real mobility data from it. Furthermore, we theoretically analyze MobTA's stability across base and instruction-tuned LLMs. Extensive experiments show that MobTA significantly outperforms existing methods, and achieves performance close to models finetuned using target city mobility trajectories.
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