arXiv:2602.13649cs.LG2026-02被引 6

提出联合时间序列链,捕捉中断或相关时序中的异常演化趋势。

Joint Time Series Chain: Detecting Unusual Evolving Trend across Time Series

  • 定义联合时序链,跨多时序识别连续演变模式。
  • 在真实制造数据上验证优于现有方法,准确定位异常趋势。
  • 适合监控复杂系统中跨时序的早期异常信号,如工业故障预警。

时间序列链(TSC)是一种捕捉大规模时序数据中动态模式的新概念。它由一系列按时间顺序排列的子序列构成,相邻子序列相似,首尾可能不相似。该概念具有揭示时序中潜在异常演化趋势或复杂系统重要事件前兆的潜力。然而,现有TSC定义仅适用于单一时序,难以发现因中断或跨相关时序产生的意外演变模式。为此,本文提出新的联合时间序列链(Joint TSC)定义,专为检测中断时序或相关时序间的异常演化趋势设计,重点缓解时间间隙带来的鲁棒性问题。我们进一步提出有效的排序准则以识别最优链。大量实证评估表明,所提方法在定位异常演变模式方面优于现有TSC方法。我们在英特尔的真实制造场景中展示了其实际应用价值。源代码已公开于 https://github.com/lizhang-ts/JointTSC。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Time series chain (TSC) is a recently introduced concept that captures the evolving patterns in large scale time series. Informally, a time series chain is a temporally ordered set of subsequences, in which consecutive subsequences in the chain are similar to one another, but the last and the first subsequences maybe be dissimilar. Time series chain has the great potential to reveal latent unusual evolving trend in the time series, or identify precursor of important events in a complex system. Unfortunately, existing definitions of time series chains only consider finding chains in a single time series. As a result, they are likely to miss unexpected evolving patterns in interrupted time series, or across two related time series. To address this limitation, in this work, we introduce a new definition called \textit{Joint Time Series Chain}, which is specially designed for the task of finding unexpected evolving trend across interrupted time series or two related time series. Our definition focuses on mitigating the robustness issues caused by the gap or interruption in the time series. We further propose an effective ranking criterion to identify the best chain. We demonstrate that our proposed approach outperforms existing TSC work in locating unusual evolving patterns through extensive empirical evaluations. We further demonstrate the utility of our work with a real-life manufacturing application from Intel. Our source code is publicly available at the supporting page https://github.com/lizhang-ts/JointTSC .

时序分析异常检测演化模式工业监测

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