让自动驾驶主动探知并引导他人行为,提升复杂路况下的安全决策能力。
Multimodal Belief-Space Covariance Steering with Active Probing and Influence for Interactive Driving
- 构建分层信念模型,融合意图与动作模式,实现多分辨率推理。
- 设计主动探查策略,在不确定性高时规划安全的试探性动作。
- 结合风险评估机制,确保所有干预行为在可接受风险范围内。
复杂交通环境下自动驾驶需在不确定性中进行推理。现有方法多将预测与风险控制分离,难以捕捉交互中行为与推断的耦合关系。尤其在模糊场景下,仅依赖预测易导致危险或过度保守行为。本文提出一种分层信念模型,将人类行为分解为粗粒度意图和细粒度运动模式,通过贝叶斯推断实现可解释的多分辨率推理。在此基础上,开发主动探查策略,识别可能危及安全的多模态不确定性,并规划既能揭示意图、又能温和引导至更安全决策的行动。最后引入基于条件风险价值(CVaR)的运行时风险评估层,确保所有探查动作均在人类可接受的风险阈值内。仿真结果在变道与无信号交叉口场景中显示,本方法成功率更高、完成时间更短,验证了信念推理、探查与风险监控协同带来的优势,构建了一个原则性强且可解释的不确定环境规划框架。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Autonomous driving in complex traffic requires reasoning under uncertainty. Common approaches rely on prediction-based planning or risk-aware control, but these are typically treated in isolation, limiting their ability to capture the coupled nature of action and inference in interactive settings. This gap becomes especially critical in uncertain scenarios, where simply reacting to predictions can lead to unsafe maneuvers or overly conservative behavior. Our central insight is that safe interaction requires not only estimating human behavior but also shaping it when ambiguity poses risks. To this end, we introduce a hierarchical belief model that structures human behavior across coarse discrete intents and fine motion modes, updated via Bayesian inference for interpretable multi-resolution reasoning. On top of this, we develop an active probing strategy that identifies when multimodal ambiguity in human predictions may compromise safety and plans disambiguating actions that both reveal intent and gently steer human decisions toward safer outcomes. Finally, a runtime risk-evaluation layer based on Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR) ensures that all probing actions remain within human risk tolerance during influence. Our simulations in lane-merging and unsignaled intersection scenarios demonstrate that our approach achieves higher success rates and shorter completion times compared to existing methods. These results highlight the benefit of coupling belief inference, probing, and risk monitoring, yielding a principled and interpretable framework for planning under uncertainty.
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