分析气候议题网络讨论的冲突成因与互动结构,揭示发言时间与立场对话语风格的影响。
The geometry of online conversations and the causal antecedents of conflictual discourse
- 用大模型标注三维度:立场、语气、情绪/事实倾向,分析对话结构
- 延迟回复更礼貌,但长期延迟则情绪化表达增多,立场分歧略减
- 靠近父帖或老兄弟帖会趋同,且初始分支立场影响后续对齐强度
本文研究气候议题在线分层讨论中冲突性语言的因果前因及互动几何结构。通过大模型提示推断并平均三个标注维度——立场(同意/反对)、语气(攻击性/尊重)、情绪/事实框架——分析来自分层在线论坛的数据,考察这些维度如何响应讨论的时间、对话和树状结构特征。结果显示,线程中连续回复的延迟越长,回复平均越尊重;而相对于父帖的延迟越长,则分歧略减但情绪化语言增多,事实性减弱。进一步发现,发言者强烈趋向于与较早的兄弟帖及父帖的平均立场、语气和情绪框架趋同,其中父帖影响强于兄弟帖。早期分支回应的立场会调节这种对齐动态:若分支起始于与根消息一致或冲突,将放大或削弱父-子立场一致性。此类影响在文明相关维度(攻击/尊重、同意/不同意)上基本为叠加效应,但在情绪/事实框架上存在显著交互作用——当老兄弟帖情绪倾向一致时,对父帖情绪性的对齐被强化。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
This article investigates the causal antecedents of conflictual language and the geometry of interaction in online threaded conversations related to climate change. We employ three annotation dimensions, inferred through LLM prompting and averaging, to capture complementary aspects of discursive conflict (such as stance: agreement vs disagreement; tone: attacking vs respectful; and emotional versus factual framing) and use data from a threaded online forum to examine how these dimensions respond to temporal, conversational, and arborescent structural features of discussions. We show that, as suggested by the literature, longer delays between successive posts in a thread are associated with replies that are, on average, more respectful, whereas longer delays relative to the parent post are associated with slightly less disagreement but more emotional (less factual) language. Second, we characterize alignment with the local conversational environment and find strong convergence both toward the average stance, tone and emotional framing of older sibling posts replying to the same parent and toward those of the parent post itself, with parent post effects generally stronger than sibling effects. We further show that early branch-level responses condition these alignment dynamics, such that parent-child stance alignment is amplified or attenuated depending on whether a branch is initiated in agreement or disagreement with the discussion's root message. These influences are largely additive for civility-related dimensions (attacking vs respectful, disagree vs agree), whereas for emotional versus factual framing there is a significant interaction: alignment with the parent's emotionality is amplified when older siblings are similarly aligned.
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