AI披露影响众筹成败,策略得当可缓解负面影响。
How to Disclose? Strategic AI Disclosure in Crowdfunding
- 基于信号理论与修辞框架,分析披露策略对投资人决策的影响。
- 强制披露使募资金额下降39.8%,支持者数量减少23.9%。
- 真实可信+清晰说明能缓解负面效应,过度煽情反而适得其反。
随着人工智能(AI)越来越多地融入众筹实践,战略性披露AI参与程度变得至关重要。然而,关于不同披露策略如何影响投资者决策的实证研究仍较匮乏。本文基于信号理论与亚里士多德修辞框架,研究强制性AI披露对众筹表现的影响,以及实质性信号(AI参与程度)和修辞信号(逻辑/明确性、可信度/真实性、情感基调)的调节作用。利用Kickstarter的强制性AI披露政策作为自然实验,并结合四项补充在线实验,发现强制披露显著降低众筹绩效:涉及AI的项目募资金额下降39.8%,支持者人数减少23.9%。然而,这一负面效应受披露策略系统性调节:更高的AI参与度会加剧负面影响,而高真实性和高明确性则可缓解该效应。有趣的是,过度积极的情感基调(创作者可能为应对AI质疑而采取的策略)反而适得其反,进一步恶化结果。补充随机实验揭示两个内在机制:创作者能力感知与AI洗白担忧。实质性信号主要影响能力判断,而修辞信号通过单一或双重路径起作用。研究为创业者、平台及政策制定者在高风险投资场景中管理AI透明度提供了理论与实践启示。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
As artificial intelligence (AI) increasingly integrates into crowdfunding practices, strategic disclosure of AI involvement has become critical. Yet, empirical insights into how different disclosure strategies influence investor decisions remain limited. Drawing on signaling theory and Aristotle's rhetorical framework, we examine how mandatory AI disclosure affects crowdfunding performance and how substantive signals (degree of AI involvement) and rhetorical signals (logos/explicitness, ethos/authenticity, pathos/emotional tone) moderate these effects. Leveraging Kickstarter's mandatory AI disclosure policy as a natural experiment and four supplementary online experiments, we find that mandatory AI disclosure significantly reduces crowdfunding performance: funds raised decline by 39.8% and backer counts by 23.9% for AI-involved projects. However, this adverse effect is systematically moderated by disclosure strategy. Greater AI involvement amplifies the negative effects of AI disclosure, while high authenticity and high explicitness mitigate them. Interestingly, excessive positive emotional tone (a strategy creators might intuitively adopt to counteract AI skepticism) backfires and exacerbates negative outcomes. Supplementary randomized experiments identify two underlying mechanisms: perceived creator competence and AI washing concerns. Substantive signals primarily affect competence judgments, whereas rhetorical signals operate through varied pathways: either mediator alone or both in sequence. These findings provide theoretical and practical insights for entrepreneurs, platforms, and policymakers strategically managing AI transparency in high-stakes investment contexts.
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