用隐变量控制文本,更准估算文本对结果的影响
Causal Effect Estimation with Latent Textual Treatments
- 通过稀疏自编码器生成可控的文本干预
- 发现直接估计存在显著偏差,改进后误差大幅降低
- 适合做文本因果分析的研究者和从业者
理解文本对下游结果的因果效应是诸多应用的核心任务。估算此类效应需系统性地改变文本特征并进行受控实验。尽管大语言模型(LLMs)能生成文本,但实现可控变化并评估其效果仍需谨慎处理。本文提出一个端到端的隐式文本干预生成与因果估计流程。首先利用稀疏自编码器(SAEs)生成假设并引导文本变化,再进行稳健的因果估计。该流程解决了文本作为处理变量时的计算与统计挑战。我们发现,直接估计会因文本同时携带处理信息与协变量信息而产生显著偏差。本文描述了这一偏差机制,并提出基于协变量残差化的解决方案。实证结果表明,该方法有效诱导目标特征变化,显著降低估计误差,为文本作为处理变量的因果效应估计提供了可靠基础。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Understanding the causal effects of text on downstream outcomes is a central task in many applications. Estimating such effects requires researchers to run controlled experiments that systematically vary textual features. While large language models (LLMs) hold promise for generating text, producing and evaluating controlled variation requires more careful attention. In this paper, we present an end-to-end pipeline for the generation and causal estimation of latent textual interventions. Our work first performs hypothesis generation and steering via sparse autoencoders (SAEs), followed by robust causal estimation. Our pipeline addresses both computational and statistical challenges in text-as-treatment experiments. We demonstrate that naive estimation of causal effects suffers from significant bias as text inherently conflates treatment and covariate information. We describe the estimation bias induced in this setting and propose a solution based on covariate residualization. Our empirical results show that our pipeline effectively induces variation in target features and mitigates estimation error, providing a robust foundation for causal effect estimation in text-as-treatment settings.
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