不依赖追踪身份,用历史占据图预测多车未来轨迹。
HiMAP: History-aware Map-occupancy Prediction with Fallback
- 将检测结果转为时空不变的历史占据图,通过查询机制找回个体历史。
- 在无追踪条件下,FDE、ADE分别提升11%、12%,误检率降低4%。
- 适合对安全性和鲁棒性要求高的自动驾驶系统部署使用。
准确的运动预测对自动驾驶至关重要,但现有方法依赖多目标追踪(MOT)的身份关联,一旦出现遮挡、身份切换或漏检导致追踪失败,预测性能下降且安全隐患增加。本文提出无需追踪的HiMAP框架,在追踪失效时仍保持可靠。该方法将历史检测转化为时空不变的历史占据图,并引入历史查询模块,基于当前智能体状态从无标签占据表示中迭代检索特定历史。检索到的历史由时间映射嵌入总结,结合最终查询与地图上下文,通过DETR式解码器生成多模态未来轨迹。此设计摆脱了对身份的依赖,支持流式推理并可作为追踪不可用时的稳健后备方案。在Argoverse~2数据集上,HiMAP在无身份条件下表现媲美基于追踪的方法,并在无追踪设置下显著优于强基线,相对提升FDE 11%、ADE 12%,MR降低4%。此外,其可同时稳定预测所有智能体轨迹,无需等待追踪恢复,展现出对安全关键自主系统的实用价值。代码已开源:https://github.com/XuYiMing83/HiMAP。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Accurate motion forecasting is critical for autonomous driving, yet most predictors rely on multi-object tracking (MOT) with identity association, assuming that objects are correctly and continuously tracked. When tracking fails due to, e.g., occlusion, identity switches, or missed detections, prediction quality degrades and safety risks increase. We present \textbf{HiMAP}, a tracking-free, trajectory prediction framework that remains reliable under MOT failures. HiMAP converts past detections into spatiotemporally invariant historical occupancy maps and introduces a historical query module that conditions on the current agent state to iteratively retrieve agent-specific history from unlabeled occupancy representations. The retrieved history is summarized by a temporal map embedding and, together with the final query and map context, drives a DETR-style decoder to produce multi-modal future trajectories. This design lifts identity reliance, supports streaming inference via reusable encodings, and serves as a robust fallback when tracking is unavailable. On Argoverse~2, HiMAP achieves performance comparable to tracking-based methods while operating without IDs, and it substantially outperforms strong baselines in the no-tracking setting, yielding relative gains of 11\% in FDE, 12\% in ADE, and a 4\% reduction in MR over a fine-tuned QCNet. Beyond aggregate metrics, HiMAP delivers stable forecasts for all agents simultaneously without waiting for tracking to recover, highlighting its practical value for safety-critical autonomy. The code is available under: https://github.com/XuYiMing83/HiMAP.
Thank you to arXiv for use of its open access interoperability. PaperDance 不是 arXiv 官方产品;中文卡片由大模型生成,请以原文为准。