融合专家知识与过程结构,加速多阶段制造优化。
Joint Parameter and State-Space Bayesian Optimization: Using Process Expertise to Accelerate Manufacturing Optimization
- 基于过程图模型与联合参数-状态空间建模,利用中间观测数据
- 在生物乙醇生产模拟中实现目标性能速度翻倍、更可靠
- 适合有领域知识的制造优化场景,提升研发效率
贝叶斯优化(BO)是优化黑箱制造过程的强大方法,但在高维多阶段系统中表现受限,尤其当可观察中间输出时。标准BO将过程视为黑箱,忽略中间观测和内在过程结构。部分可观测高斯过程网络(POGPN)将过程建模为有向无环图(DAG),但当观测为高维状态空间时间序列时,利用中间信息仍具挑战。通过引入过程专家知识,可从高维状态空间数据中提取低维潜在特征。本文提出POGPN-JPSS框架,结合POGPN与联合参数-状态空间(JPSS)建模,有效利用提取的中间信息。在复杂的多阶段生物乙醇生产仿真中验证了其有效性。结果表明,相较于最先进方法,POGPN-JPSS实现目标性能阈值的速度快一倍,且更具可靠性。快速优化直接带来显著的时间与资源节省,凸显了将专家知识与结构化概率模型结合对快速工艺成熟的重要性。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Bayesian optimization (BO) is a powerful method for optimizing black-box manufacturing processes, but its performance is often limited when dealing with high-dimensional multi-stage systems, where we can observe intermediate outputs. Standard BO models the process as a black box and ignores the intermediate observations and the underlying process structure. Partially Observable Gaussian Process Networks (POGPN) model the process as a Directed Acyclic Graph (DAG). However, using intermediate observations is challenging when the observations are high-dimensional state-space time series. Process-expert knowledge can be used to extract low-dimensional latent features from the high-dimensional state-space data. We propose POGPN-JPSS, a framework that combines POGPN with Joint Parameter and State-Space (JPSS) modeling to use intermediate extracted information. We demonstrate the effectiveness of POGPN-JPSS on a challenging, high-dimensional simulation of a multi-stage bioethanol production process. Our results show that POGPN-JPSS significantly outperforms state-of-the-art methods by achieving the desired performance threshold twice as fast and with greater reliability. The fast optimization directly translates to substantial savings in time and resources. This highlights the importance of combining expert knowledge with structured probabilistic models for rapid process maturation.
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