arXiv:2602.17941cs.LGcs.AI2026-02

提出可识别混杂因子的图神经网络,提升因果推断稳定性

Optimizing Graph Causal Classification Models: Estimating Causal Effects and Addressing Confounders

  • 引入因果推理机制,显式建模图数据中的混杂因素
  • 在6个真实数据集上显著优于现有最先进模型
  • 适合需要稳定预测和干预分析的现实场景

图数据在人工智能领域日益普及,广泛应用于关系分析。传统图机器学习方法(如图神经网络)依赖相关性,易受虚假模式和分布变化干扰。而因果学习能识别并调整混杂因子,使预测更稳定、可靠。为此,本文提出CCAGNN——一种混杂因子感知的因果图神经网络框架,将因果推理融入图学习,支持反事实推断,在多种现实场景中提供可信预测。在六个来自不同领域的公开数据集上的实验表明,该模型持续优于当前最先进的方法。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Graph data is becoming increasingly prevalent due to the growing demand for relational insights in AI across various domains. Organizations regularly use graph data to solve complex problems involving relationships and connections. Causal learning is especially important in this context, since it helps to understand cause-effect relationships rather than mere associations. Since many real-world systems are inherently causal, graphs can efficiently model these systems. However, traditional graph machine learning methods including graph neural networks (GNNs), rely on correlations and are sensitive to spurious patterns and distribution changes. On the other hand, causal models enable robust predictions by isolating true causal factors, thus making them more stable under such shifts. Causal learning also helps in identifying and adjusting for confounders, ensuring that predictions reflect true causal relationships and remain accurate even under interventions. To address these challenges and build models that are robust and causally informed, we propose CCAGNN, a Confounder-Aware causal GNN framework that incorporates causal reasoning into graph learning, supporting counterfactual reasoning and providing reliable predictions in real-world settings. Comprehensive experiments on six publicly available datasets from diverse domains show that CCAGNN consistently outperforms leading state-of-the-art models.

图神经网络因果推断混杂因子稳健学习

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