arXiv:2602.18168cs.LG2026-02

用深度模型实现高精度长时爆波预测,速度快且适应复杂城市环境。

A Deep Surrogate Model for Robust and Generalizable Long-Term Blast Wave Prediction

  • 融合多尺度与动态静态特征,缓解预测误差累积。
  • 在未见建筑布局上平均误差低于0.01,280步预测R²超0.89。
  • 适合需长期仿真且泛化性要求高的爆炸场景研究。

准确模拟爆波传播的时空动态仍是难题,因其高度非线性、陡峭梯度及高昂计算成本。尽管基于机器学习的代理模型可快速推理,但在复杂城市布局或分布外场景下精度下降,且自回归策略在长时预测中易积累误差。为此,提出RGD-Blast模型,通过多尺度模块捕捉全局流场与局部边界交互,有效抑制误差累积;引入动态-静态特征耦合机制,融合随时间变化的压力场与静态源及布局特征,提升分布外泛化能力。实验表明,该模型相比传统数值方法提速两个数量级,同时保持相当精度。在未见建筑布局的泛化测试中,280个连续时间步的平均RMSE低于0.01,R²超过0.89。不同爆炸源位置与装药量下的额外评估也验证了其泛化性能,显著推进长时爆波建模的前沿水平。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Accurately modeling the spatio-temporal dynamics of blast wave propagation remains a longstanding challenge due to its highly nonlinear behavior, sharp gradients, and burdensome computational cost. While machine learning-based surrogate models offer fast inference as a promising alternative, they suffer from degraded accuracy, particularly evaluated on complex urban layouts or out-of-distribution scenarios. Moreover, autoregressive prediction strategies in such models are prone to error accumulation over long forecasting horizons, limiting their robustness for extended-time simulations. To address these limitations, we propose RGD-Blast, a robust and generalizable deep surrogate model for high-fidelity, long-term blast wave forecasting. RGD-Blast incorporates a multi-scale module to capture both global flow patterns and local boundary interactions, effectively mitigating error accumulation during autoregressive prediction. We introduce a dynamic-static feature coupling mechanism that fuses time-varying pressure fields with static source and layout features, thereby enhancing out-of-distribution generalization. Experiments demonstrate that RGD-Blast achieves a two-order-of-magnitude speedup over traditional numerical methods while maintaining comparable accuracy. In generalization tests on unseen building layouts, the model achieves an average RMSE below 0.01 and an R2 exceeding 0.89 over 280 consecutive time steps. Additional evaluations under varying blast source locations and explosive charge weights further validate its generalization, substantially advancing the state of the art in long-term blast wave modeling.

爆波预测深度代理模型长时仿真泛化性

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