arXiv:2602.19919cs.CLcs.LG2026-02被引 3

用新闻事件驱动交易,提升模型决策收益与可解释性。

Janus-Q: End-to-End Event-Driven Trading via Hierarchical-Gated Reward Modeling

  • 构建事件为中心的新闻数据集,融合语义与市场反应。
  • 通过分层门控奖励模型优化交易策略,提升夏普比率102%。
  • 适合量化交易、金融AI研究者,尤其关注事件驱动建模者。

金融市场常由新闻等离散事件驱动,其影响异质、突变且难以通过纯数值预测捕捉。现有方法面临两大挑战:缺乏大规模、以事件为核心的新闻与市场反应联合数据集;语言模型推理与真实交易行为在动态市场中存在偏差。为此,我们提出Janus-Q,一个端到端事件驱动交易框架,将金融新闻事件作为核心决策单元。第一阶段构建包含62,400篇新闻的事件数据集,标注10种细粒度事件类型、关联股票、情感标签及事件驱动的累计异常收益(CAR)。第二阶段采用监督学习与强化学习结合的决策导向微调,引入分层门控奖励模型(HGRM),显式建模多目标交易权衡。大量实验表明,Janus-Q在收益一致性、可解释性与盈利性上均优于市场基准与大模型基线,夏普比率最高提升102.0%,方向预测准确率提高超17.5%。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Financial market movements are often driven by discrete financial events conveyed through news, whose impacts are heterogeneous, abrupt, and difficult to capture under purely numerical prediction objectives. These limitations have motivated growing interest in using textual information as the primary source of trading signals in learning-based systems. Two key challenges hinder existing approaches: (1) the absence of large-scale, event-centric datasets that jointly model news semantics and statistically grounded market reactions, and (2) the misalignment between language model reasoning and financially valid trading behavior under dynamic market conditions. To address these challenges, we propose Janus-Q, an end-to-end event-driven trading framework that elevates financial news events from auxiliary signals to primary decision units. Janus-Q unifies event-centric data construction and model optimization under a two-stage paradigm. Stage I focuses on event-centric data construction, building a large-scale financial news event dataset comprising 62,400 articles annotated with 10 fine-grained event types, associated stocks, sentiment labels, and event-driven cumulative abnormal return (CAR). Stage II performs decision-oriented fine-tuning, combining supervised learning with reinforcement learning guided by a Hierarchical Gated Reward Model (HGRM), which explicitly captures trade-offs among multiple trading objectives. Extensive experiments demonstrate that Janus-Q achieves more consistent, interpretable, and profitable trading decisions than market indices and LLM baselines, improving the Sharpe Ratio by up to 102.0% while increasing direction accuracy by over 17.5% compared to the strongest competing strategies.

事件驱动量化交易强化学习金融AI

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