arXiv:2602.21959cs.LG2026-02综述

综述船舶燃油消耗估算与优化方法,提出未来研究方向。

Estimation and Optimization of Ship Fuel Consumption in Maritime: Review, Challenges and Future Directions

  • 按物理模型、机器学习、混合模型分类燃油估算方法。
  • 强调数据融合可提升预测精度,实现实时优化。
  • 首次探讨可解释AI在航运决策中的透明性价值。

为减少碳排放并降低航运成本,提升船舶燃油效率至关重要。现有措施包括优化船舶参数和选择低油耗航线。针对燃油消耗的估算与优化,已有多种方法被提出。本文系统综述了海运中燃油消耗的估算与优化方法。创新性地将燃油消耗与估算方法分为基于物理、机器学习及混合模型三类,并分析其优缺点。同时强调多源数据融合(如AIS、船载传感器、气象数据)对提升预测精度的重要性。首次探讨可解释AI在增强模型透明性、支持决策方面的潜力。识别出关键挑战:数据质量、可用性及实时优化需求,并提出未来研究方向,聚焦于混合模型、实时优化及数据集标准化。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

To reduce carbon emissions and minimize shipping costs, improving the fuel efficiency of ships is crucial. Various measures are taken to reduce the total fuel consumption of ships, including optimizing vessel parameters and selecting routes with the lowest fuel consumption. Different estimation methods are proposed for predicting fuel consumption, while various optimization methods are proposed to minimize fuel oil consumption. This paper provides a comprehensive review of methods for estimating and optimizing fuel oil consumption in maritime transport. Our novel contributions include categorizing fuel oil consumption \& estimation methods into physics-based, machine-learning, and hybrid models, exploring their strengths and limitations. Furthermore, we highlight the importance of data fusion techniques, which combine AIS, onboard sensors, and meteorological data to enhance accuracy. We make the first attempt to discuss the emerging role of Explainable AI in enhancing model transparency for decision-making. Uniquely, key challenges, including data quality, availability, and the need for real-time optimization, are identified, and future research directions are proposed to address these gaps, with a focus on hybrid models, real-time optimization, and the standardization of datasets.

船舶燃油能源优化数据融合可解释AI

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