阿拉伯语推文中的语言不确定性能显著提升互动量,尤其促进回复和讨论。
Linguistic Uncertainty and Engagement in Arabic-Language X (formerly Twitter) Discourse
- 基于词典与上下文的分类器识别出29.9%的不确定表达
- 不确定推文平均互动量高出51.5%,预期互动率高约25%
- 对阿拉伯语社交媒体对话中参与式互动机制有新发现
语言不确定性是社交媒体话语的常见特征,但其与用户互动的关系在非英语语境下仍研究不足。本研究利用为期35天、共16,695条关于黎巴嫩的阿拉伯语推文数据,考察表达语言不确定性的推文是否比确定性推文获得不同水平和形式的互动。我们开发了一个基于词典、上下文敏感的分类器,识别出29.9%的推文具有不确定性。描述性分析显示,不确定推文的平均总互动量(点赞、转发、回复)高出51.5%。在控制推文长度、链接存在性和账号认证状态后,回归模型确认不确定性与互动正相关(η = 0.221, SE = 0.044, p < 0.001),对应约25%的预期互动提升。该关联在回复中最强,其次为转发和点赞,表明互动形式更趋对话性。结果在多种模型设定和账户内相关性调整下均稳健。研究揭示语言不确定性可能作为互动线索,促进阿拉伯语社交媒体中的参与式交流,并推动非英语数字传播中语言特征建模的计算方法发展。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Linguistic uncertainty is a common feature of social media discourse, yet its relationship with user engagement remains underexplored, particularly in non-English contexts. Using a dataset of 16,695 Arabic-language tweets about Lebanon posted over a 35-day period, we examine whether tweets expressing linguistic uncertainty receive different levels and forms of engagement compared to certainty-marked tweets. We develop a lexicon-based, context-sensitive classifier to identify uncertainty markers and classify 29.9% of tweets as uncertain. Descriptive analyses indicate that uncertain tweets exhibit 51.5% higher mean total engagement (likes, retweets, and replies). Regression models controlling for tweet length, URL presence, and account verification status confirm a positive association between uncertainty and engagement (\b{eta} = 0.221, SE = 0.044, p < 0.001), corresponding to approximately 25% higher expected engagement. The association is strongest for replies, followed by retweets and likes, suggesting a shift toward more conversational forms of engagement. Results are robust to alternative model specifications and adjustments for within-account correlation. These findings suggest that linguistic uncertainty may function as an interactional cue that encourages participatory engagement in Arabic-language social media discourse. The study contributes computational approaches for modeling linguistic features in large-scale, non-English digital communication.
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