arXiv:2603.00955stat.MEcs.AI2026-03

提出新方法提升高维分组变量选择的统计功效与误差控制能力

Beyond False Discovery Rate: A Stepdown Group SLOPE Approach for Grouped Variable Selection

  • 基于SLOPE框架融合莱曼-罗曼步降规则,实现分组变量选择
  • 在有限样本下严格控制组层面错误率,且显著提升检验功效
  • 适用于稀疏、相关性高及分组结构数据,适合高维统计建模场景

高维特征选择需在统计功效与多重误差控制(如k-FWER和FDP)间取得平衡。现有方法多仅控制期望假发现率(FDR),且忽略协变量的分组结构。本文提出组步降SLOPE(Group Stepdown SLOPE),将莱曼-罗曼步降规则嵌入SLOPE,实现对k-FWER和FDP的有限样本保证。在正交设计下推导出闭式正则化序列,可严格控制用户指定水平下的k-FWER和FDP;通过gk-SLOPE和gF-SLOPE扩展至分组情形,分别控制组级错误率gk-FWER和gFDP。针对非正交一般设计,提出基于高斯近似与蒙特卡洛校正的数据驱动序列,保持凸性与可扩展性。在稀疏、相关及分组结构等多种情形下进行大量模拟,结果验证理论:所提方法实现名义误差控制,且功效显著高于对比步降方法,证明理论进展具有实际价值。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

High-dimensional feature selection is routinely required to balance statistical power with strict control of multiple-error metrics such as the k-Family-Wise Error Rate (k-FWER) and the False Discovery Proportion (FDP), yet some existing frameworks are confined to the narrower goal of controlling the expected False Discovery Rate (FDR) and can not exploit the group-structure of the covariates, such as Sorted L-One Penalized Estimation (SLOPE). We introduce the Group Stepdown SLOPE, a unified optimization procedure which is capable of embedding the Lehmann-Romano stepdown rules into SLOPE to achieve finite-sample guarantees under k-FWER and FDP thresholds. Specifically, we derive closed-form regularization sequences under orthogonal designs that provably bound k-FWER and FDP at user-specified levels, and extend these results to grouped settings via gk-SLOPE and gF-SLOPE, which control the analogous group-level errors gk-FWER and gFDP. For non-orthogonal general designs, we provide a calibrated data-driven sequence inspired by Gaussian approximation and Monte-Carlo correction, preserving convexity and scalability. Extensive simulations are conducted across sparse, correlated, and group-structured regimes. Empirical results corroborate our theoretical findings that the proposed methods achieve nominal error control, while yielding markedly higher power than competing stepdown procedures, thereby confirming the practical value of the theoretical advances.

变量选择误差控制分组结构高维统计

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