arXiv:2603.01508cs.CYcs.AI2026-03

提出国家人工智能意识准备度评估框架,为未来可能的AI道德地位提供预警。

The Sentience Readiness Index: A Preliminary Framework for Measuring National Preparedness for the Possibility of Artificial Sentience

  • 基于六类加权指标构建综合评分体系,采用大模型辅助专家打分。
  • 31个司法管辖区均未达到充分准备,英国最高分49/100,专业准备最弱。
  • 适用于政策制定者与伦理研究者,推动社会对AI意识可能性的制度响应。

意识的科学研究所产生的可验证预测已开始触及人工系统。一项里程碑式协作评估将当前人工智能架构与六种主流意识理论进行对比,发现尚无系统构成强候选,但未来系统可能具备。一种预防性人工智能意识治理理念逐渐获得哲学与机构支持,即在缺乏确证的情况下,若存在可信的可能性,就应启动治理措施。然而,现有的人工智能准备度指数(如牛津大学政府AI准备度指数、IMF人工智能准备度指数、斯坦福人工智能指数)仅衡量经济、技术与治理能力,未评估社会是否准备好应对人工智能可能获得道德考量的可能性。本文提出“意识准备度指数”(Sentience Readiness Index, SRI),一个针对31个司法管辖区的初步复合指数,涵盖六个加权类别。该指数依据经合组织/联合研究中心复合指标框架构建,并采用大语言模型辅助专家评分与迭代评审生成初始数据集。所有司法管辖区均未超过‘部分准备’水平,英国得分最高(49/100)。研究环境得分普遍最高,专业准备得分普遍最低。探索性结果表明,若人工智能意识成为科学可行的假设,目前没有任何社会具备足够的制度、专业或文化基础设施以应对。作为初步框架,SRI提供了诊断基线,并指明未来需改进的方向:扩大专家验证、优化测量工具及开展纵向数据收集。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

The scientific study of consciousness has begun to generate testable predictions about artificial systems. A landmark collaborative assessment evaluated current AI architectures against six leading theories of consciousness and found that none currently qualifies as a strong candidate, but that future systems might. A precautionary approach to AI sentience, which holds that credible possibility of sentience warrants governance action even without proof, has gained philosophical and institutional traction. Yet existing AI readiness indices, including the Oxford Insights Government AI Readiness Index, the IMF AI Preparedness Index, and the Stanford AI Index, measure economic, technological, and governance preparedness without assessing whether societies are prepared for the possibility that AI systems might warrant moral consideration. This paper introduces the Sentience Readiness Index (SRI), a preliminary composite index measuring national-level preparedness across six weighted categories for 31 jurisdictions. The SRI was constructed following the OECD/JRC framework for composite indicators and employs LLM-assisted expert scoring with iterative expert review to generate an initial dataset. No jurisdiction exceeds ``Partially Prepared'' (the United Kingdom leads at 49/100). Research Environment scores are universally the strongest category; Professional Readiness is universally the weakest. These exploratory findings suggest that if AI sentience becomes scientifically plausible, no society currently possesses adequate institutional, professional, or cultural infrastructure to respond. As a preliminary framework, the SRI provides an initial diagnostic baseline and highlights areas for future methodological refinement, including expanded expert validation, improved measurement instruments, and longitudinal data collection.

AI伦理意识评估政策框架治理指数

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