arXiv:2603.04420cs.LGmath.DS2026-03

用深度神经网络反推系统参数,提前发现复杂系统的突变临界点。

Machine Learning for Complex Systems Dynamics: Detecting Bifurcations in Dynamical Systems with Deep Neural Networks

  • 以平衡态为输入,训练网络反推使系统保持平衡的参数
  • 在非线性系统中成功识别出鞍结分岔和多稳态的临界参数区域
  • 适合研究生态、气候等高维非线性系统的突变预警

关键转变是系统在不同状态间发生的突变,对理解生态、气候与生物学中的临界点至关重要。传统检测方法依赖大量前向模拟或分岔分析,计算成本高且受限于参数采样。本文提出基于深度神经网络(DNN)的平衡态感知神经网络(EINNs),逆转常规流程:以候选平衡态为输入,训练网络推断满足平衡条件的系统参数。通过分析学习到的参数空间,观察平衡映射的可行性或连续性突然变化,可有效检测临界阈值。我们在呈现鞍结分岔和多稳态的非线性系统上验证该方法,证明EINNs能准确恢复即将发生转变的参数区域。该方法为传统技术提供灵活替代,有助于揭示高维非线性系统中关键转变的早期信号与结构特征。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Critical transitions are the abrupt shifts between qualitatively different states of a system, and they are crucial to understanding tipping points in complex dynamical systems across ecology, climate science, and biology. Detecting these shifts typically involves extensive forward simulations or bifurcation analyses, which are often computationally intensive and limited by parameter sampling. In this study, we propose a novel machine learning approach based on deep neural networks (DNNs) called equilibrium-informed neural networks (EINNs) to identify critical thresholds associated with catastrophic regime shifts. Rather than fixing parameters and searching for solutions, the EINN method reverses this process by using candidate equilibrium states as inputs and training a DNN to infer the corresponding system parameters that satisfy the equilibrium condition. By analyzing the learned parameter landscape and observing abrupt changes in the feasibility or continuity of equilibrium mappings, critical thresholds can be effectively detected. We demonstrate this capability on nonlinear systems exhibiting saddle-node bifurcations and multi-stability, showing that EINNs can recover the parameter regions associated with impending transitions. This method provides a flexible alternative to traditional techniques, offering new insights into the early detection and structure of critical shifts in high-dimensional and nonlinear systems.

机器学习动力系统分岔检测突变预警

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