针对工业时序故障预测,提出无需训练的智能检索生成框架
Retrieval-Augmented Generation with Covariate Time Series

- 构建分层时序知识库,实现原始工况的无损存储与物理启发检索
- 两阶段加权检索提升相似工况匹配精度,预测准确率显著超越基线
- 已部署于南航物联网系统,两个月内零误报识别出一次阀门故障
尽管RAG已大幅提升大模型能力,但将其扩展至时序基础模型(TSFMs)仍面临挑战。以高压调节与切断阀(PRSOV)预测性维护为例,该场景具有数据稀缺、短瞬态序列及协变量耦合动力学三大特征。现有时序RAG方法多依赖生成的静态向量嵌入和可学习上下文增强器,在此类稀缺、瞬态且耦合性强的场景中难以区分相似运行状态。为此,我们提出RAG4CTS:一种面向协变量时序的、无需训练的感知工况RAG框架。通过构建分层时序原生知识库,实现原始历史工况的无损存储与物理启发检索;设计两阶段双权重检索机制,通过点对点与多变量相似性对齐历史趋势;引入代理驱动策略,实现自监督下的动态上下文优化。在PRSOV上的大量实验表明,本框架在预测精度上显著优于当前最优基线。所提系统已部署于中国南方航空的Apache IoTDB中。自部署以来,两个月内成功识别一次PRSOV故障,且零误报。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
While RAG has greatly enhanced LLMs, extending this paradigm to Time-Series Foundation Models (TSFMs) remains a challenge. This is exemplified in the Predictive Maintenance of the Pressure Regulating and Shut-Off Valve (PRSOV), a high-stakes industrial scenario characterized by (1) data scarcity, (2) short transient sequences, and (3) covariate coupled dynamics. Unfortunately, existing time-series RAG approaches predominantly rely on generated static vector embeddings and learnable context augmenters, which may fail to distinguish similar regimes in such scarce, transient, and covariate coupled scenarios. To address these limitations, we propose RAG4CTS, a regime-aware, training-free RAG framework for Covariate Time-Series. Specifically, we construct a hierarchal time-series native knowledge base to enable lossless storage and physics-informed retrieval of raw historical regimes. We design a two-stage bi-weighted retrieval mechanism that aligns historical trends through point-wise and multivariate similarities. For context augmentation, we introduce an agent-driven strategy to dynamically optimize context in a self-supervised manner. Extensive experiments on PRSOV demonstrate that our framework significantly outperforms state-of-the-art baselines in prediction accuracy. The proposed system is deployed in Apache IoTDB within China Southern Airlines. Since deployment, our method has successfully identified one PRSOV fault in two months with zero false alarm.
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