arXiv:2603.05546cs.ROcs.CV2026-03

用数字孪生约束轨迹预测,让车辆在路口更安全合规。

Digital-Twin Losses for Lane-Compliant Trajectory Prediction at Urban Intersections

  • 结合双流网络与数字孪生损失,融合交通规则和碰撞规避机制。
  • 显著降低违规率和碰撞风险,同时保持高精度与实时性。
  • 适合车联网与智能交通系统研究者,尤其关注安全性的场景。

准确且安全的轨迹预测是智能交通系统的关键技术,尤其在具有复杂多智能体交互的车联网城市环境中。本文提出一种基于数字孪生的车联网轨迹预测流程,联合利用车载与基础设施的协同感知,预测信号灯控制路口的多智能体运动。模型采用基于Bi-LSTM的生成器,并结合标准均方误差(MSE)损失与新型孪生损失(twin loss)。该损失编码了基础设施约束、碰撞规避、预测模式多样性以及源自数字孪生的规则先验。MSE保证逐点精度,而孪生损失则惩罚交通规则违反、预测碰撞及模式坍缩,引导模型生成符合场景且安全合规的预测结果。我们在真实车联网数据上训练并评估方法,数据来自城市路段的路口传输至车辆。除标准轨迹指标(ADE、FDE)外,还引入了交通系统相关安全指标,包括基础设施违规率与规则违规率。实验表明,所提训练方案显著降低了关键违规行为,同时保持相近的预测精度与实时性能,凸显了数字孪生驱动的多损失学习在车联网智能交通系统中的潜力。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Accurate and safety-conscious trajectory prediction is a key technology for intelligent transportation systems, especially in V2X-enabled urban environments with complex multi-agent interactions. In this paper, we created a digital twin-driven V2X trajectory prediction pipeline that jointly leverages cooperative perception from vehicles and infrastructure to forecast multi-agent motion at signalized intersections. The proposed model combines a Bi-LSTM-based generator with a structured training objective consisting of a standard mean squared error (MSE) loss and a novel twin loss. The twin loss encodes infrastructure constraints, collision avoidance, diversity across predicted modes, and rule-based priors derived from the digital twin. While the MSE term ensures point-wise accuracy, the twin loss penalizes traffic rule violations, predicted collisions, and mode collapse, guiding the model toward scene-consistent and safety-compliant predictions. We train and evaluate our approach on real-world V2X data sent from the intersection to the vehicle and collected in urban corridors. In addition to standard trajectory metrics (ADE, FDE), we introduce ITS-relevant safety indicators, including infrastructure and rule violation rates. Experimental results demonstrate that the proposed training scheme significantly reduces critical violations while maintaining comparable prediction accuracy and real-time performance, highlighting the potential of digital twin-driven multi-loss learning for V2X-enabled intelligent transportation systems.

轨迹预测数字孪生V2X交通安全

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