arXiv:2603.07371cs.LGcs.AI2026-03中稿 · ICLR被引 1

无需实验验证即可保证生成分子中至少有一个有效,且能缩小候选范围。

ConfHit: Conformal Generative Design with Oracle Free Guarantees

  • 利用历史与生成样本的加权可交换性,免去实验验证需求。
  • 在多个置信水平下保持有效覆盖率,同时维持紧凑的候选集。
  • 适合药物设计中需可靠生成结果的研究者使用。

深度生成模型在科学发现中的成功不仅依赖于生成新候选物的能力,还需确保这些候选物满足特定属性的可靠保障。近年来的分布外预测方法为这一目标提供了路径,但在药物发现中的生成建模应用受限于预算约束、缺乏实验验证接口及分布偏移问题。为此,我们提出 ConfHit,一种无需分布假设和实验验证的框架,可在上述条件下提供有效性保障。ConfHit明确两个核心问题:(i) 验证——生成批次是否能在用户指定置信水平下保证至少包含一个有效分子;(ii) 设计——能否在不削弱保证的前提下对生成结果进行精炼以形成紧凑集合。该方法通过历史与生成样本间的加权可交换性消除对实验“真值”(oracle)的依赖,构建多样本密度比加权的置信度评估指标,并提出嵌套检验流程,在保持统计保障的同时实现候选集的认证与优化。在多种代表性分子生成任务和广泛方法上,ConfHit均稳定实现多置信水平的有效覆盖,同时保持紧凑的可信集合,建立了一个严谨可靠的生成建模框架。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

The success of deep generative models in scientific discovery requires not only the ability to generate novel candidates but also reliable guarantees that these candidates indeed satisfy desired properties. Recent conformal-prediction methods offer a path to such guarantees, but its application to generative modeling in drug discovery is limited by budget constraints, lack of oracle access, and distribution shift. To this end, we introduce ConfHit, a distribution-free framework that provides validity guarantees under these conditions. ConfHit formalizes two central questions: (i) Certification: whether a generated batch can be guaranteed to contain at least one hit with a user-specified confidence level, and (ii) Design: whether the generation can be refined to a compact set without weakening this guarantee. ConfHit leverages weighted exchangeability between historical and generated samples to eliminate the need for an experimental oracle, constructs multiple-sample density-ratio weighted conformal p-value to quantify statistical confidence in hits, and proposes a nested testing procedure to certify and refine candidate sets of multiple generated samples while maintaining statistical guarantees. Across representative generative molecule design tasks and a broad range of methods, ConfHit consistently delivers valid coverage guarantees at multiple confidence levels while maintaining compact certified sets, establishing a principled and reliable framework for generative modeling.

生成模型药物发现置信保障无监督验证

Thank you to arXiv for use of its open access interoperability. PaperDance 不是 arXiv 官方产品;中文卡片由大模型生成,请以原文为准。