arXiv:2603.07546cs.AIcs.LG2026-03

用形式化方法验证并解释强化学习在多桥维护中的决策逻辑

COOL-MC: Verifying and Explaining RL Policies for Multi-bridge Network Maintenance

  • 基于马尔可夫决策过程构建三桥网络维护模型,引入周期预算约束
  • 发现训练策略安全违规概率为3.5%,略高于理论最优0%,显示策略有改进空间
  • 揭示策略对桥1存在系统性偏倚,适合基础设施管理与可信AI研究者参考

老化桥梁网络需采用主动、可验证且可解释的维护策略,但仅依赖奖励信号训练的强化学习(RL)策略缺乏形式化安全保证,且对基础设施管理者不透明。本文提出COOL-MC工具,用于验证和解释多桥网络维护中的RL策略。在文献中单桥马尔可夫决策过程(MDP)基础上,扩展为包含三个异构桥梁的并行网络,引入共享周期预算约束,并以PRISM建模语言编码。在该MDP上训练RL智能体后,对其生成的离散时间马尔可夫链(DTMC)应用概率模型检测与可解释性分析。概率模型检测显示,该策略在规划期内的安全违规概率为3.5%,略高于理论最小值0%,表明所学策略存在次优性;结果基于人工构造的转移概率与退化率,非真实数据,故性能数值应谨慎解读。可解释性分析进一步揭示,策略对桥1的状态存在系统性偏好。这些结果证明了COOL-MC在提供形式化、可解释且实用的RL维护策略分析方面的有效性。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Aging bridge networks require proactive, verifiable, and interpretable maintenance strategies, yet reinforcement learning (RL) policies trained solely on reward signals provide no formal safety guarantees and remain opaque to infrastructure managers. We demonstrate COOL-MC as a tool for verifying and explaining RL policies for multi-bridge network maintenance, building on a single-bridge Markov decision process (MDP) from the literature and extending it to a parallel network of three heterogeneous bridges with a shared periodic budget constraint, encoded in the PRISM modeling language. We train an RL agent on this MDP and apply probabilistic model checking and explainability methods to the induced discrete-time Markov chain (DTMC) that arises from the interaction between the learned policy and the underlying MDP. Probabilistic model checking reveals that the trained policy has a safety-violation probability of 3.5\% over the planning horizon, being slightly above the theoretical minimum of 0\% and indicating the suboptimality of the learned policy, noting that these results are based on artificially constructed transition probabilities and deterioration rates rather than real-world data, so absolute performance figures should be interpreted with caution. The explainability analysis further reveals, for instance, a systematic bias in the trained policy toward the state of bridge 1 over the remaining bridges in the network. These results demonstrate COOL-MC's ability to provide formal, interpretable, and practical analysis of RL maintenance policies.

强化学习形式化验证可解释性基础设施

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