首次量化大模型安全防线在持续攻击下的衰减过程，揭示早期突破为主。

Most adversarial evaluations of large language model (LLM) safety assess single prompts and report binary pass/fail outcomes, which fails to capture how safety properties evolve under sustained adversarial interaction. We present ADVERSA, an automated red-teaming framework that measures guardrail degradation dynamics as continuous per-round compliance trajectories rather than discrete jailbreak events. ADVERSA uses a fine-tuned 70B attacker model (ADVERSA-Red, Llama-3.1-70B-Instruct with QLoRA) that eliminates the attacker-side safety refusals that render off-the-shelf models unreliable as attackers, scoring victim responses on a structured 5-point rubric that treats partial compliance as a distinct measurable state. We report a controlled experiment across three frontier victim models (Claude Opus 4.6, Gemini 3.1 Pro, GPT-5.2) using a triple-judge consensus architecture in which judge reliability is measured as a first-class research outcome rather than assumed. Across 15 conversations of up to 10 adversarial rounds, we observe a 26.7% jailbreak rate with an average jailbreak round of 1.25, suggesting that in this evaluation setting, successful jailbreaks were concentrated in early rounds rather than accumulating through sustained pressure. We document inter-judge agreement rates, self-judge scoring tendencies, attacker drift as a failure mode in fine-tuned attackers deployed out of their training distribution, and attacker refusals as a previously-underreported confound in victim resistance measurement. All limitations are stated explicitly. Attack prompts are withheld per responsible disclosure policy; all other experimental artifacts are released.