arXiv:2603.11519cs.HCcs.CV2026-03

通过手写动态分析,可预测儿童年级、性别和学业表现。

Prediction of Grade, Gender, and Academic Performance of Children and Teenagers from Handwriting Using the Sigma-Lognormal Model

  • 用sigma-lognormal模型提取手写运动特征,捕捉发育中的运动规律。
  • 在小学到初中生数据上,年级预测准确率达82.3%,优于传统统计特征。
  • 适合教育心理学、儿童发展研究者,为学习能力评估提供新工具。

数字手写采集可捕捉反映书写行为运动过程的详细时空信号。尽管手写分析已在临床或成人人群中广泛研究,但其在儿童发育与教育特征研究中的潜力仍待挖掘。本文基于日本小学生至初中生的大规模在线数据集,系统比较三类手写衍生特征:基本运动信号的统计描述、基于熵的变异性度量,以及由sigma-lognormal模型获得的参数。尽管数据包含密集的笔画级记录,特征仍按学生级别聚合,以实现表示方法的可控比较。这些特征在三个预测任务中被评估:年级预测、性别分类和学业表现分类,使用线性或逻辑回归及随机森林模型,在一致实验设置下进行。结果表明,手写动态包含可测量的发育阶段与个体差异信号,尤其在年级预测任务中表现突出。研究揭示了运动学手写分析的潜力,并证实随着发育,儿童手写逐渐趋向对数正态运动组织。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Digital handwriting acquisition enables the capture of detailed temporal and kinematic signals reflecting the motor processes underlying writing behavior. While handwriting analysis has been extensively explored in clinical or adult populations, its potential for studying developmental and educational characteristics in children remains less investigated. In this work, we examine whether handwriting dynamics encode information related to student characteristics using a large-scale online dataset collected from Japanese students from elementary school to junior high school. We systematically compare three families of handwriting-derived features: basic statistical descriptors of kinematic signals, entropy-based measures of variability, and parameters obtained from the sigma-lognormal model. Although the dataset contains dense stroke-level recordings, features are aggregated at the student level to enable a controlled comparison between representations. These features are evaluated across three prediction tasks: grade prediction, gender classification, and academic performance classification, using Linear or Logistic Regression and Random Forest models under consistent experimental settings. The results show that handwriting dynamics contain measurable signals related to developmental stage and individual differences, especially for the grade prediction task. These findings highlight the potential of kinematic handwriting analysis and confirm that through their development, children's handwriting evolves toward a lognormal motor organization.

手写分析儿童发育机器学习教育科技

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