用深度学习量化周围环境对地表温度的影响范围。
Spatially Aware Deep Learning for Microclimate Prediction from High-Resolution Geospatial Imagery
- 设计专用卷积网络,系统改变输入影像范围以测试空间上下文影响。
- 5-7米内空间信息显著提升预测精度,超出后收益递减。
- 适用于生态、气候建模者,揭示微气候的空间耦合机制。
微气候模型对连接气候与生态过程至关重要,但现有物理模型通常独立估算每个空间单元的温度,且简化了侧向热交换。因此,邻近环境如何影响局部微气候尚不明确。本文利用遥感数据量化空间上下文对地表温度预测的贡献。基于卷积神经网络原理,构建任务专用深度神经网络,系统性地改变输入数据的空间范围进行训练。使用无人机获取的空间图层与气象数据,预测焦点位置的地表温度,从而直接评估预测精度随空间上下文扩大而变化的情况。结果表明,引入相邻空间信息可显著提高预测准确率,但超过约5-7米后边际收益递减。该特征尺度说明地表温度不仅受本地地表属性影响,还受相邻微生境间水平热传递和辐射相互作用驱动。空间效应的强度随时间段、微生境类型及局部环境特征系统性变化,凸显微气候形成中的情境依赖性空间耦合。通过将深度学习作为诊断工具而非仅预测工具,本方法提供了一种通用且可迁移的方法,用于量化微气候模型中的空间依赖关系,并推动发展兼顾空间交互与物理可解释性的混合机理-数据驱动模型。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Microclimate models are essential for linking climate to ecological processes, yet most physically based frameworks estimate temperature independently for each spatial unit and rely on simplified representations of lateral heat exchange. As a result, the spatial scales over which surrounding environmental conditions influence local microclimates remain poorly quantified. Here, we show how remote sensing can help quantify the contribution of spatial context to microclimate temperature predictions. Building on convolutional neural network principles, we designed a task-specific deep neural network and trained a series of models in which the spatial extent of input data was systematically varied. Drone-derived spatial layers and meteorological data were used to predict ground temperature at a focal location, allowing direct assessment of how prediction accuracy changes with increasing spatial context. Our results show that incorporating spatially adjacent information substantially improves prediction accuracy, with diminishing returns beyond spatial extents of approximately 5-7 m. This characteristic scale indicates that ground temperatures are influenced not only by local surface properties, but also by horizontal heat transfer and radiative interactions operating across neighboring microhabitats. The magnitude of spatial effects varied systematically with time of day, microhabitat type, and local environmental characteristics, highlighting context-dependent spatial coupling in microclimate formation. By treating deep learning as a diagnostic tool rather than solely a predictive one, our approach provides a general and transferable method for quantifying spatial dependencies in microclimate models and informing the development of hybrid mechanistic-data-driven approaches that explicitly account for spatial interactions while retaining physical interpretability.
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