用深度学习从病理切片预测前列腺癌复发风险,提升诊疗决策精准度。
Deep Learning From Routine Histology Improves Risk Stratification for Biochemical Recurrence in Prostate Cancer
- 直接从H&E切片端到端训练,学习连续复发风险评分。
- 整合临床评分后,判别能力提升至0.749-0.788(原0.725-0.772)。
- 发现传统评分忽略的细微形态特征,适合临床辅助决策场景。
根治性前列腺切除术后准确预测生化复发(BCR)对指导辅助治疗和随访至关重要。现有临床病理风险模型将复杂组织形态简化为粗略描述,使常规病理切片中蕴含的预后信息未被充分挖掘。本文提出一种基于深度学习的生物标志物,可直接从H&E染色全切片前列腺标本中预测患者特异性BCR风险。模型在四个独立国际队列上端到端训练并评估,展现出跨机构和人群的稳健泛化能力。与CAPRA-S临床风险评分联合使用后,判别能力从0.725–0.772提升至0.749–0.788。通过结果导向分析,揭示了传统评分未能捕捉的微小组织形态模式。多队列研究证明,深度学习应用于常规前列腺病理可生成可重复、临床通用的生物标志物,有助于真实世界中的个性化癌症管理。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Accurate prediction of biochemical recurrence (BCR) after radical prostatectomy is critical for guiding adjuvant treatment and surveillance decisions in prostate cancer. However, existing clinicopathological risk models reduce complex morphology to relatively coarse descriptors, leaving substantial prognostic information embedded in routine histopathology underexplored. We present a deep learning-based biomarker that predicts continuous, patient-specific risk of BCR directly from H&E-stained whole-slide prostatectomy specimens. Trained end-to-end on time-to-event outcomes and evaluated across four independent international cohorts, our model demonstrates robust generalization across institutions and patient populations. When integrated with the CAPRA-S clinical risk score, the deep learning risk score consistently improved discrimination for BCR, increasing concordance indices from 0.725-0.772 to 0.749-0.788 across cohorts. To support clinical interpretability, outcome-grounded analyses revealed subtle histomorphological patterns associated with recurrence risk that are not captured by conventional clinicopathological risk scores. This multicohort study demonstrates that deep learning applied to routine prostate histopathology can deliver reproducible and clinically generalizable biomarkers that augment postoperative risk stratification, with potential to support personalized management of prostate cancer in real-world clinical settings.
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