跨医院协作预测脓毒症,保护隐私且准确率提升超两成。
A federated learning framework with knowledge graph and temporal transformer for early sepsis prediction in multi-center ICUs
- 联邦学习融合知识图谱与时间注意力模型,跨院协作不传原始数据。
- 在MIMIC-IV和eICU数据集上AUC达0.956,比传统方法高12.7%以上。
- 适合医疗数据隐私要求高的多中心临床预警系统部署。
重症监护室(ICU)患者脓毒症的早期预测对提高生存率至关重要。然而,医疗机构间的数据碎片化、医疗数据的时间复杂性以及严格的隐私限制,制约了精准预测模型的开发。为此,我们提出一种新框架,首次将联邦学习(FL)与医学知识图谱及时间变换器模型结合,并引入模型无关元学习(MAML)能力。该方法可在不共享原始患者数据的前提下,实现多中心协作训练,保障隐私。模型利用知识图谱融入结构化医学关系,通过时间变换器捕捉临床时序数据中的长程依赖。同时,采用MAML策略使全局模型快速适应本地数据分布。在MIMIC-IV和eICU数据集上的评估显示,本方法达到0.956的曲线下面积(AUC),相比传统集中式模型提升22.4%,较标准联邦学习提升12.7%,展现出强大的脓毒症预测能力。该研究为多中心、隐私保护的早期预警提供了可靠方案。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
The early prediction of sepsis in intensive care unit (ICU) patients is crucial for improving survival rates. However, the development of accurate predictive models is hampered by data fragmentation across healthcare institutions and the complex, temporal nature of medical data, all under stringent privacy constraints. To address these challenges, we propose a novel framework that uniquely integrates federated learning (FL) with a medical knowledge graph and a temporal transformer model, enhanced by meta-learning capabilities. Our approach enables collaborative model training across multiple hospitals without sharing raw patient data, thereby preserving privacy. The model leverages a knowledge graph to incorporate structured medical relationships and employs a temporal transformer to capture long-range dependencies in clinical time-series data. A model-agnostic meta-learning (MAML) strategy is further incorporated to facilitate rapid adaptation of the global model to local data distributions. Evaluated on the MIMIC-IV and eICU datasets, our method achieves an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.956, which represents a 22.4% improvement over conventional centralized models and a 12.7% improvement over standard federated learning, demonstrating strong predictive capability for sepsis. This work presents a reliable and privacy-preserving solution for multi-center collaborative early warning of sepsis.
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