用分子结构自动推算化学品生命周期数据,解决环保评估缺料难题
Life cycle assessment for all organic chemicals
- 基于分子结构逆合成+机器学习,自动生成透明的生产数据
- 覆盖7万+有机化学品,生成超11万份可追溯的环境影响数据
- 定位50个高污染热点与关键中间体,助力绿色化工改造
化学品广泛存在于现代社会,但其生产带来重大可持续性挑战。实现绿色化工需精准的生命周期评估(LCA),但现有评估受限于数据稀缺、不一致且不透明——当前生命周期清单(LCI)数据库仅覆盖极少数交易化学品。本文提出化学生命周期透明评估框架CRYSTAL,通过逆合成路径与机器学习的门到门数据,根据分子结构自动生成一致且可追溯的有机化学品LCI数据。利用该框架,我们构建了涵盖超过70,000种有机化学品的数据库,包含超过110,000份透明的生命周期清单数据,量化原料与能源需求,以及相关辅助材料、生物圈排放与废弃物。基于此,我们识别出50个驱动多类环境影响的关键污染热点,以及对下游生产至关重要的枢纽化学品。该框架为靶向工程优化与政策干预提供系统支持,其透明可模块化设计,将化学LCA从依赖“未知的未知”转向可协作改进的“已知的未知”。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Chemicals are embedded in nearly every aspect of modern society, yet their production poses substantial sustainability concerns. Achieving a sustainable chemical industry requires detailed Life Cycle Assessment (LCA); however, current assessments face many unknowns due to limited, partly inconsistent, and untransparent data coverage since existing Life Cycle Inventory (LCI) databases account for only a tiny fraction of traded chemicals. Here, we introduce the Chemical RetrosYnthesiS for Transparent Assessment of Life-cycles (CRYSTAL) framework, which automatically generates consistent and transparent LCI data for organic chemicals based on their molecular structure using retrosynthesis and machine-learned gate-to-gate inventories. Using the predictive power of CRYSTAL, we create a consistent database for more than 70000 organic chemicals, comprising over 110000 transparent LCI datasets that quantify both feedstock and energy demands, together with associated auxiliary materials, biosphere flows, and waste flows. From this comprehensive database, we identify 50 key environmental hotspots driving high impacts of organic chemical production across multiple environmental categories and pivotal hub chemicals that are most critical for downstream chemical production. In providing this comprehensive data foundation, the CRYSTAL framework offers systematic guidance for targeted engineering and policy interventions. Its transparent, modular nature is designed to shift chemical LCA from a reliance on "unknown unknowns" to a collaboratively improvable mapping of "known unknowns".
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