用物理启发的生成模型,秒级合成百万级地震动时程。
Large-Scale 3D Ground-Motion Synthesis with Physics-Inspired Latent Operator Flow Matching
- 基于物理先验的潜在流匹配框架,实现高效生成
- 900万网格点上秒级生成,速度提升1万倍
- 适合地震风险评估与分布式基础设施设计
地震灾害分析与空间分布基础设施(如电网、能源管网)设计需要具备真实频谱特性和时空一致性的场景化地震动时程。然而,传统物理模拟生成不确定性量化所需的大量样本计算成本过高,难以用于工程流程。为此,我们提出物理启发的地震动流(GMFlow)框架,可在物理参数条件下生成大规模、真实的区域地震动时程。在旧金山湾区模拟地震场景中验证,GMFlow可在数秒内生成超过900万网格点的时空一致地震动,相比传统模拟流程提速10,000倍,为分布式基础设施的快速、不确定性感知灾害评估开辟路径。更广泛地,该方法推动了无网格函数生成建模的发展,或可拓展至多科学领域的大规模时空物理场合成。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Earthquake hazard analysis and design of spatially distributed infrastructure, such as power grids and energy pipeline networks, require scenario-specific ground-motion time histories with realistic frequency content and spatiotemporal coherence. However, producing the large ensembles needed for uncertainty quantification with physics-based simulations is computationally intensive and impractical for engineering workflows. To address this challenge, we introduce Ground-Motion Flow (GMFlow), a physics-inspired latent operator flow matching framework that generates realistic, large-scale regional ground-motion time-histories conditioned on physical parameters. Validated on simulated earthquake scenarios in the San Francisco Bay Area, GMFlow generates spatially coherent ground motion across more than 9 million grid points in seconds, achieving a 10,000-fold speedup over the simulation workflow, which opens a path toward rapid and uncertainty-aware hazard assessment for distributed infrastructure. More broadly, GMFlow advances mesh-agnostic functional generative modeling and could potentially be extended to the synthesis of large-scale spatiotemporal physical fields in diverse scientific domains.
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