用动态语义结构追踪危机中信息演变,无需预先标注。
Temporal Narrative Monitoring in Dynamic Information Environments
- 结合语义嵌入与滚动时间关联,构建随时间演化的叙事模型。
- 集群一致性高,揭示叙事生命周期存在短暂片段与稳定锚点。
- 适合需要实时感知危机信息环境的应急决策者使用。
在危机事件中,理解信息环境(IE)极具挑战性,因其快速变化且概念抽象。现有方法多依赖分类或网络分析捕捉静态快照,忽视了信息随时间演化的特性。本文提出一种系统化框架,将新兴叙事建模为无须预先标注的时序演化语义结构。通过整合语义嵌入、基于密度的聚类与滚动时间链接,该框架在共享语义空间中将叙事表示为持久但可适应的实体。我们在真实危机事件上应用该方法,并通过分层聚类验证与时间生命周期分析评估系统行为。结果表明聚类一致性高,且叙事生命周期呈现异质性:包含短暂片段与稳定的叙事锚点。本研究基于情境意识理论,将非结构化的社交媒体流转化为可解释的时序结构表征,支持对信息环境的感知与理解。所提系统可为动态信息环境中的监测与决策支持提供方法论基础。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Comprehending the information environment (IE) during crisis events is challenging due to the rapid change and abstract nature of the domain. Many approaches focus on snapshots via classification methods or network approaches to describe the IE in crisis, ignoring the temporal nature of how information changed over time. This work presents a system-oriented framework for modeling emerging narratives as temporally evolving semantic structures without requiring prior label specification. By integrating semantic embeddings, density-based clustering, and rolling temporal linkage, the framework represents narratives as persistent yet adaptive entities within a shared semantic space. We apply the methodology to a real-world crisis event and evaluate system behavior through stratified cluster validation and temporal lifecycle analysis. Results demonstrate high cluster coherence and reveal heterogeneous narrative lifecycles characterized by both transient fragments and stable narrative anchors. We ground our approach in situational awareness theory, supporting perception and comprehension of the IE by transforming unstructured social media streams into interpretable, temporally structured representations. The resulting system provides a methodology for monitoring and decision support in dynamic information environments.
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