AI辅助司法决策的利弊与人机协作机制研究
Man and machine: artificial intelligence and judicial decision making
- 整合多学科证据,分析AI工具在量刑等环节的表现
- 实证显示AI对预审和量刑决策影响有限
- 适合法律科技、人机交互领域研究者参考
人工智能(AI)技术在预审、量刑和假释等司法决策中的应用,引发了对透明度、可靠性和问责性的广泛关注。与此同时,人类判断的局限性也愈发凸显,亟需理解法官如何与基于AI的决策辅助系统互动。以刑事司法风险评估为切入点,本文综合计算机科学、经济学、法学、犯罪学和心理学等领域的研究成果,探讨三个相互关联的议题:AI工具的预测效能与公平性、法官判断的优势与偏见,以及人机协作的性质。尽管现有研究已验证了自动化风险评估工具的预测有效性,揭示了司法决策中的偏差,并初步考察了法官对算法建议的使用情况,但实证证据表明,AI决策辅助工具对预审和量刑决策的影响仍较为微弱或不显著。研究还发现当前文献存在重要空白:亟需进一步评估AI风险评估工具的实际表现,理解法官在不确定环境下的决策逻辑,以及个体特征如何影响其对AI建议的响应。我们主张,通过比较AI与人类决策,可深化对算法与人类认知的理解,并呼吁未来研究加强跨学科融合。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
The integration of artificial intelligence (AI) technologies into judicial decision-making, particularly in pretrial, sentencing, and parole contexts, has generated substantial concerns about transparency, reliability, and accountability. At the same time, these developments have brought the limitations of human judgment into sharper relief and underscored the importance of understanding how judges interact with AI-based decision aids. Using criminal justice risk assessment as a focal case, we conduct a synthetic review connecting three intertwined aspects of AI's role in judicial decision-making: the performance and fairness of AI tools, the strengths and biases of human judges, and the nature of AI-plus-human interactions. Across the fields of computer science, economics, law, criminology, and psychology, researchers have made significant progress in evaluating the predictive validity of automated risk assessment instruments, documenting biases in judicial decision-making, and, to a more limited extent, examining how judges use algorithmic recommendations. While the existing empirical evidence indicates that the impact of AI decision-aid tools on pretrial and sentencing decisions is modest or nonexistent, our review also reveals important gaps in the existing literature. Further research is needed to evaluate the performance of AI risk assessment instruments, understand how judges navigate uncertain decision-making environments, and examine how individual characteristics influence judges' responses to AI advice. We argue that AI-versus-human comparisons have the potential to yield new insights into both algorithmic tools and human decision-makers. We advocate greater interdisciplinary integration to foster cross-fertilization in future research.
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