融合物理规律与自适应聚类,提升信息传播热度预测精度
Physics-Informed Neural Network with Adaptive Clustering Learning Mechanism for Information Popularity Prediction
- 用物理信息神经网络建模传播宏观规律
- 通过自适应聚类捕捉信息差异对扩散的影响
- 在三个真实数据集上显著优于现有方法
随着社会步入互联网时代,数据与信息的规模和传播速度持续增长。预测信息传播的热度有助于实现高价值信息的精准推送和网络舆情监控。当前最先进的信息热度预测模型多采用图卷积网络(GCNs)和循环神经网络(RNNs)等深度学习方法,以捕捉传播早期特征与时间动态来预测热度增长。然而,这些方法主要关注信息传播的微观特征,忽视其宏观整体模式,且未充分考虑信息异质性对传播热度的影响。为此,本文提出一种融合物理信息与自适应聚类学习机制的神经网络模型(PIACN),首次通过物理信息方法建模信息传播的宏观规律,并利用自适应聚类机制刻画不同信息类型的异质性影响。在三个真实世界数据集上的大量实验表明,该模型在信息热度预测任务中显著优于其他先进方法。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
With society entering the Internet era, the volume and speed of data and information have been increasing. Predicting the popularity of information cascades can help with high-value information delivery and public opinion monitoring on the internet platforms. The current state-of-the-art models for predicting information popularity utilize deep learning methods such as graph convolution networks (GCNs) and recurrent neural networks (RNNs) to capture early cascades and temporal features to predict their popularity increments. However, these previous methods mainly focus on the micro features of information cascades, neglecting their general macroscopic patterns. Furthermore, they also lack consideration of the impact of information heterogeneity on spread popularity. To overcome these limitations, we propose a physics-informed neural network with adaptive clustering learning mechanism, PIACN, for predicting the popularity of information cascades. Our proposed model not only models the macroscopic patterns of information dissemination through physics-informed approach for the first time but also considers the influence of information heterogeneity through an adaptive clustering learning mechanism. Extensive experimental results on three real-world datasets demonstrate that our model significantly outperforms other state-of-the-art methods in predicting information popularity.
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