arXiv:2603.20619cs.AIcs.CY2026-03被引 1

构建工作活动的深度分类体系,预测AI在各类工作中的应用潜力。

Where can AI be used? Insights from a deep ontology of work activities

  • 拆解并重构2万项职业活动,建立系统化工作分类框架。
  • 发现前1.6%活动占全球AI市场价值超60%,信息类活动占比72%。
  • 适合政策制定者、企业决策者及研究者评估AI落地场景。

人工智能(AI)正深刻重塑工作执行与组织方式,但目前尚缺乏深入理解其适用领域的框架。本文提供了一个全面的工作活动本体论,可系统分析和预测AI的应用。我们对美国劳工部广泛使用的O*NET职业数据库中约2万个活动进行拆解与重构,并利用该框架对13,275个AI软件应用描述及全球2080万套机器人系统的数据进行分类。基于这些数据,生成了当前全球范围内所有AI系统在不同工作活动中所占单位数量与市场价值的分布图。结果显示,AI市场价值分布极不均衡:仅前1.6%的活动就占总价值的60%以上;其中72%用于信息类活动,特别是信息创建(占36%),仅有12%用于物理活动;交互类活动涵盖信息与物理内容,占AI市场价值48%,其中26%涉及信息传递。这些结果可视为对各类工作活动未来AI适用性的粗略预测。因此,这一系统性框架有助于在详细层面判断现有及未来AI能力在具体工作中的可用性。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Artificial intelligence (AI) is poised to profoundly reshape how work is executed and organized, but we do not yet have deep frameworks for understanding where AI can be used. Here we provide a comprehensive ontology of work activities that can help systematically analyze and predict uses of AI. To do this, we disaggregate and then substantially reorganize the approximately 20K activities in the US Department of Labor's widely used O*NET occupational database. Next, we use this framework to classify descriptions of 13,275 AI software applications and a worldwide tally of 20.8 million robotic systems. Finally, we use the data about both these kinds of AI to generate graphical displays of how the estimated units and market values of all worldwide AI systems used today are distributed across the work activities that these systems help perform. We find a highly uneven distribution of AI market value across activities, with the top 1.6% of activities accounting for over 60% of AI market value. Most of the market value is used in information-based activities (72%), especially creating information (36%), and only 12% is used in physical activities. Interactive activities include both information-based and physical activities and account for 48% of AI market value, much of which (26%) involves transferring information. These results can be viewed as rough predictions of the AI applicability for all the different work activities down to very low levels of detail. Thus, we believe this systematic framework can help predict at a detailed level where today's AI systems can and cannot be used and how future AI capabilities may change this.

AI应用工作分类市场分布本体论

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