用神经网络直接预测物理系统输出区间,提速数十倍且精度高。
Direct Interval Propagation Methods using Neural-Network Surrogates for Uncertainty Quantification in Physical Systems Surrogate Model
- 将区间传播转为回归任务,直接输出输入不确定时的输出范围。
- 使用MLP和DeepONet等模型,计算效率比传统优化方法提升数倍。
- 适合需要快速可靠性分析的工程设计与不确定性量化场景。
在工程中,不确定性传播旨在刻画输入不确定时系统的输出特性。对于区间不确定性,目标是给定区间输入时确定输出边界,这对鲁棒设计优化和可靠性分析至关重要。然而,标准区间传播依赖求解优化问题,对复杂系统计算成本高。代理模型可缓解此问题,但通常仅替换优化循环中的评估器,仍需大量推理调用。为此,我们提出将区间传播重构为区间值回归问题,直接预测输出边界。本文全面研究基于神经网络的代理模型,包括多层感知机(MLP)和深度算子网络(DeepONet)。比较了三种方法:(i) 标准架构的朴素区间传播,(ii) 如区间边界传播(IBP)和CROWN等边界传播方法,(iii) 具有区间权重的区间神经网络(INNs)。结果表明,这些方法在保持准确区间估计的同时,显著提升了计算效率,相比传统优化方法提速数倍。我们还讨论了应用中的实际局限与开放挑战。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
In engineering, uncertainty propagation aims to characterise system outputs under uncertain inputs. For interval uncertainty, the goal is to determine output bounds given interval-valued inputs, which is critical for robust design optimisation and reliability analysis. However, standard interval propagation relies on solving optimisation problems that become computationally expensive for complex systems. Surrogate models alleviate this cost but typically replace only the evaluator within the optimisation loop, still requiring many inference calls. To overcome this limitation, we reformulate interval propagation as an interval-valued regression problem that directly predicts output bounds. We present a comprehensive study of neural network-based surrogate models, including multilayer perceptrons (MLPs) and deep operator networks (DeepONet), for this task. Three approaches are investigated: (i) naive interval propagation through standard architectures, (ii) bound propagation methods such as Interval Bound Propagation (IBP) and CROWN, and (iii) interval neural networks (INNs) with interval weights. Results show that these methods significantly improve computational efficiency over traditional optimisation-based approaches while maintaining accurate interval estimates. We further discuss practical limitations and open challenges in applying interval-based propagation methods.
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