arXiv:2603.22305cs.LGcs.AI2026-03被引 1

构建中文金融新闻到资产配置的基准,评测大模型动态决策能力

CN-Buzz2Portfolio: A Chinese-Market Dataset and Benchmark for LLM-Based Macro and Sector Asset Allocation from Daily Trending Financial News

  • 用每日热点财经新闻生成宏观与行业资产配置指令
  • 九个大模型在跨板块配置上表现差异显著
  • 适合研究金融智能体与市场注意力对齐的学者

大语言模型正从静态自然语言处理任务转向复杂金融环境中的动态决策代理。然而,模型作为自主金融代理的评估面临困境:直接实盘交易难以复现且易受运气干扰,而现有静态基准多局限于个股选股,忽略市场整体关注度。为此,我们提出CN-Buzz2Portfolio,一个基于中国市场的可复现基准,将每日热点新闻映射至宏观与行业资产配置。数据覆盖2024年至2025年中,模拟真实公众关注流,要求智能体从高曝光叙事中提炼投资逻辑,而非预筛选的个股新闻。我们设计三阶段CPA代理流程(压缩、感知、配置),在ETF等广义资产类别上评估模型,降低个股特异性波动影响。九个大模型的实验显示其将宏观叙事转化为组合权重的能力存在显著差异。本研究揭示通用推理与金融决策间的对齐现状,所有数据、代码与实验均已开源,推动可持续金融智能体研究。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Large Language Models (LLMs) are rapidly transitioning from static Natural Language Processing (NLP) tasks including sentiment analysis and event extraction to acting as dynamic decision-making agents in complex financial environments. However, the evolution of LLMs into autonomous financial agents faces a significant dilemma in evaluation paradigms. Direct live trading is irreproducible and prone to outcome bias by confounding luck with skill, whereas existing static benchmarks are often confined to entity-level stock picking and ignore broader market attention. To facilitate the rigorous analysis of these challenges, we introduce CN-Buzz2Portfolio, a reproducible benchmark grounded in the Chinese market that maps daily trending news to macro and sector asset allocation. Spanning a rolling horizon from 2024 to mid-2025, our dataset simulates a realistic public attention stream, requiring agents to distill investment logic from high-exposure narratives instead of pre-filtered entity news. We propose a Tri-Stage CPA Agent Workflow involving Compression, Perception, and Allocation to evaluate LLMs on broad asset classes such as Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) rather than individual stocks, thereby reducing idiosyncratic volatility. Extensive experiments on nine LLMs reveal significant disparities in how models translate macro-level narratives into portfolio weights. This work provides new insights into the alignment between general reasoning and financial decision-making, and all data, codes, and experiments are released to promote sustainable financial agent research.

金融智能体资产配置中文数据集大模型评测

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