arXiv:2603.22856eess.IV2026-03

用卫星图估算屋顶光伏,提升电网规划精度

Retrieval-Guided Photovoltaic Inventory Estimation from Satellite Imagery for Distribution Grid Planning

  • 通过检索相似屋顶图像并对比推理,增强模型泛化能力
  • 在多个区域测试中准确率优于传统视觉模型和纯视觉语言模型
  • 适合电网规划、分布式能源管理等需要跨区域部署的场景

分布式屋顶光伏系统快速扩张给配电网规划、承载能力评估和电压调节带来日益增加的不确定性。从卫星影像中可靠估计屋顶光伏部署,对于馈线及服务区域尺度的分布式发电建模至关重要。然而,传统计算机视觉方法依赖固定学习表征和全局视觉相关性,对因屋顶材料、城市形态和成像条件差异导致的地理分布变化敏感。本文提出太阳能检索增强生成(Solar-RAG)框架,融合基于相似性的图像检索与多模态视觉-语言推理。该方法不依赖内部参数直接预测,而是检索已验证标注的视觉相似屋顶场景,在推理时进行对比分析。这一检索引导机制提供地理上下文参考,提升在异质城市环境下的鲁棒性,且无需模型重训练。实验表明,该方法优于传统深度视觉模型和独立视觉语言模型。馈线级案例研究显示,更精准的光伏清单可降低电压偏差分析和承载能力评估误差。结果证明,该方法为监测分布式光伏部署提供了可扩展、地理鲁棒的解决方案,有助于更可靠地将遥感数据融入配电网规划与分布式能源管理。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

The rapid expansion of distributed rooftop photovoltaic (PV) systems introduces increasing uncertainty in distribution grid planning, hosting capacity assessment, and voltage regulation. Reliable estimation of rooftop PV deployment from satellite imagery is therefore essential for accurate modeling of distributed generation at feeder and service-territory scales. However, conventional computer vision approaches rely on fixed learned representations and globally averaged visual correlations. This makes them sensitive to geographic distribution shifts caused by differences in roof materials, urban morphology, and imaging conditions across regions. To address these challenges, this paper proposes Solar Retrieval-Augmented Generation (Solar-RAG), a context-grounded framework for photovoltaic assessment that integrates similarity-based image retrieval with multimodal vision-language reasoning. Instead of producing predictions solely from internal model parameters, the proposed approach retrieves visually similar rooftop scenes with verified annotations and performs comparative reasoning against these examples during inference. This retrieval-guided mechanism provides geographically contextualized references that improve robustness under heterogeneous urban environments without requiring model retraining. The method outperform both conventional deep vision models and standalone vision-language models. Furthermore, feeder-level case studies show that improved PV inventory estimation reduces errors in voltage deviation analysis and hosting capacity assessment. The results demonstrate that the proposed method provides a scalable and geographically robust approach for monitoring distributed PV deployment. This enables more reliable integration of remote sensing data into distribution grid planning and distributed energy resource management.

光伏估计卫星图像电网规划检索增强

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