arXiv:2603.23779eess.IVphysics.geo-ph2026-03综述被引 4

用哨兵2号卫星数据估产,机器学习能精准到地块级别

Sentinel-2 for Crop Yield Estimation: A Systematic Review

  • 结合遥感植被指数与机器学习模型,实现田块级产量预测
  • 混合模型可解释跨作物、跨区域的田间产量差异
  • 适合做智慧农业和精准种植决策的科研与从业者参考

准确及时的作物产量估算对全球粮食安全、农业政策与农场管理至关重要。哥白尼哨兵-2卫星星座凭借高空间、时间与光谱分辨率,推动了农业监测从区域尺度向田块及亚田块尺度转变。本综述系统总结了基于哨兵-2的作物产量估算最新进展。主要趋势是从区域模型转向高分辨率田块级评估,核心方法包括:(i) 利用植被指数结合机器学习与深度学习(如随机森林、卷积神经网络)的统计模型;(ii) 通过数据同化将哨兵-2提取的叶面积指数(LAI)等变量融入过程型作物生长模型(如WOFOST、SAFY);(iii) 融合哨兵-2光学数据与哨兵-1 SAR数据以缓解云遮蔽问题。结果显示,机器学习、深度学习与混合建模框架可有效解释多种作物和区域内的田间产量变异。然而,性能仍受限于地面实测数据不足、云导致的数据缺失以及模型在年际与地域间的迁移性挑战。未来方向包括多源数据更紧密融合与提升生长期观测能力,以支持精准农业与可持续集约化中的稳健决策。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Accurate and timely crop yield estimation is critical for global food security, agricultural policy, and farm management. The Copernicus Sentinel-2 satellite constellation, with high spatial, temporal, and spectral resolution, has transformed agricultural monitoring by enabling field- and sub-field-scale analysis. This review synthesizes recent advances in Sentinel-2-based crop yield estimation. A key trend is the shift from regional models to high-resolution field-level assessments driven by three main approaches: (i) empirical models using vegetation indices combined with machine and deep learning methods such as Random Forest and Convolutional Neural Networks; (ii) integration of process-based crop growth models (e.g., WOFOST, SAFY) via data assimilation of Sentinel-2-derived variables like Leaf Area Index (LAI); and (iii) data fusion techniques combining Sentinel-2 optical data with Sentinel-1 SAR to mitigate cloud-related limitations. The review shows that machine learning, deep learning, and hybrid modeling frameworks can explain substantial within-field yield variability across crops and regions. However, performance remains constrained by limited ground-truth data, cloud-induced gaps, and challenges in model transferability across years and locations. Future directions include tighter integration of multi-modal data and improved in-season observations to support robust, operational decision-making in precision agriculture and sustainable intensification.

作物估产遥感哨兵2号机器学习

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