arXiv:2603.25670cs.LGcs.SE2026-03

利用行为不确定性重平衡数据,提升无人机系统安全监测准确率。

Uncertainty-Guided Label Rebalancing for CPS Safety Monitoring

  • 用门控MLP预测运行时的不确定性,指导标签重分配。
  • 在46:1极端不平衡数据上实现0.806 F1分数,领先基线14.3个百分点。
  • 无需生成新样本,适合真实工业场景中的罕见故障检测。

安全监控对网络物理系统(CPS)至关重要,但实际运行中不安全事件极为稀少,导致极端类别不平衡,削弱安全预测性能。传统重平衡方法在时间序列遥测数据上表现不佳,或生成不真实样本,或对少数类过拟合。本文提出U-Balance,一种基于行为不确定性的监督重平衡方法。首先训练一个基于门控MLP的不确定性预测器,将每个遥测窗口映射为分布型运动特征并输出不确定性得分;随后采用不确定性引导的标签重平衡(uLNR)机制,将高不确定性且标记为“安全”的窗口概率性重标为“不安全”,从而在不合成新数据的前提下,向少数类注入具有判别力的边界样本。最终在大规模无人机基准上评估,该系统在46:1的安全与不安全比例下,验证了行为不确定性与安全结果间存在中等但显著的相关性。uLNR被证明是优于直接前后融合的有效策略。U-Balance达到0.806 F1分数,比最强基线高出14.3个百分点,同时保持高效推理。消融实验表明,门控MLP不确定性预测器与uLNR机制均对性能提升有显著贡献。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Safety monitoring is essential for Cyber-Physical Systems (CPSs). However, unsafe events are rare in real-world CPS operations, creating an extreme class imbalance that degrades safety predictors. Standard rebalancing techniques perform poorly on time-series CPS telemetry, either generating unrealistic synthetic samples or overfitting on the minority class. Meanwhile, behavioral uncertainty in CPS operations, defined as the degree of doubt or uncertainty in CPS decisions , is often correlated with safety outcomes but unexplored in safety monitoring. To that end, we propose U-Balance, a supervised approach that leverages behavioral uncertainty to rebalance imbalanced datasets prior to training a safety predictor. U-Balance first trains a GatedMLP-based uncertainty predictor that summarizes each telemetry window into distributional kinematic features and outputs an uncertainty score. It then applies an uncertainty-guided label rebalancing (uLNR) mechanism that probabilistically relabels $\textit{safe}$-labeled windows with unusually high uncertainty as $\textit{unsafe}$, thereby enriching the minority class with informative boundary samples without synthesizing new data. Finally, a safety predictor is trained on the rebalanced dataset for safety monitoring. We evaluate U-Balance on a large-scale UAV benchmark with a 46:1 safe-to-unsafe ratio. Results confirm a moderate but significant correlation between behavioral uncertainty and safety. We then identify uLNR as the most effective strategy to exploit uncertainty information, compared to direct early and late fusion. U-Balance achieves a 0.806 F1 score, outperforming the strongest baseline by 14.3 percentage points, while maintaining competitive inference efficiency. Ablation studies confirm that both the GatedMLP-based uncertainty predictor and the uLNR mechanism contribute significantly to U-Balance's effectiveness.

安全监控不确定性不平衡数据无人机

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