构建可行动的放疗数字孪生框架,支持不确定性量化与闭环决策。
Toward Actionable Digital Twins for Radiation-Based Imaging and Therapy: Mathematical Formulation, Modular Workflow, and an OpenKBP-Based Dose-Surrogate Prototype
- 模块化设计整合患者数据、模型、求解与决策,支持状态更新与风险控制。
- 100例测试中平均剂量误差2.65 Gy,单例推理仅需0.58秒,三周期闭环10.3秒完成。
- 开源原型支持不确定性感知虚拟治疗评估,适合放疗研究与临床验证。
基于辐射的成像与治疗数字孪生体在融合患者数据、量化预测不确定性并支持临床约束决策时最具价值。本文提出一种模块化可行动数字孪生框架,并基于OpenKBP基准构建可复现的开放数据组件。框架集成患者数据、模型、求解器、校准与决策模块,形式化潜变量更新、不确定性传播及机会约束动作选择机制。初始实现采用GPU兼容的PyTorch/MONAI重实现OpenKBP起点流水线:一个11通道、1920万参数的3D U-Net,基于可行区域掩码损失训练,配备蒙特卡洛丢弃以实现体素级认知不确定性估计。为模拟静态基准上的更新循环,引入仅解码器代理再校准,并展示基于DVH与生物效用的不确定性感知虚拟治疗评估。完整三分数疗程(含再校准、蒙特卡洛推理与空间优化)耗时10.3秒。在100例测试集上,模型达到2.65和1.82 Gy的平均剂量与DVH得分,单例平均推理时间0.58秒。该案例研究为剂量预测、不确定性传播与代理闭环适应提供了可复现测试平台,未来机构研究将结合实际治疗剂量记录与重复影像开展纵向校准。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Digital twins for radiation-based imaging and therapy are most useful when they assimilate patient data, quantify predictive uncertainty, and support clinically constrained decisions. This paper presents a modular framework for actionable digital twins in radiation-based imaging and therapy and instantiates its reproducible open-data component using the \openkbpfull{} benchmark. The framework couples PatientData, Model, Solver, Calibration, and Decision modules and formalizes latent-state updating, uncertainty propagation, and chance-constrained action selection. As an initial implementation, we build a GPU-ready PyTorch/MONAI reimplementation of the \openkbp{} starter pipeline: an 11-channel, 19.2M-parameter 3D U-Net trained with a masked loss over the feasible region and equipped with Monte Carlo dropout for voxel-wise epistemic uncertainty. To emulate the update loop on a static benchmark, we introduce decoder-only proxy recalibration and illustrate uncertainty-aware virtual-therapy evaluation using DVH-based and biological utilities. A complete three-fraction loop including recalibration, Monte Carlo inference, and spatial optimization executes in 10.3~s. On the 100-patient test set, the model achieved mean dose and DVH scores of 2.65 and 1.82~Gy, respectively, with 0.58~s mean inference time per patient. The \openkbp{} case study thus serves as a reproducible test bed for dose prediction, uncertainty propagation, and proxy closed-loop adaptation, while future institutional studies will address longitudinal calibration with delivered-dose logs and repeat imaging.
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