arXiv:2603.27738cs.AI2026-03被引 2

AI自主发现大气物理机制,从预测工具变科研伙伴。

TianJi:An autonomous AI meteorologist for discovering physical mechanisms in atmospheric science

  • 用大模型驱动多智能体,自动设计气象实验
  • 两例经典场景验证,研究周期缩至数小时
  • 可自动生成假设、分析结果并判断有效性

人工智能在数据驱动天气预报上已媲美传统数值模型,但仍属统计拟合,难以揭示大气的物理因果机制。基于领域知识的人类科研流程繁琐,成为地球系统科学探索的瓶颈。本文提出TianJi——首个能自主驱动复杂数值模型验证物理机制的「AI气象学家」。该系统采用大语言模型驱动的多智能体架构,可自主开展文献调研并生成科学假说。研究过程分为认知规划与工程执行:元规划器解析假说并制定实验路线,多个专用工作代理协同完成数据准备、模型配置与多维结果分析。在飑线冷池和台风路径偏移两个经典大气动力学场景中,TianJi实现无须人工干预的专家级全流程实验,研究周期压缩至数小时。系统还能对输出结果进行详细分析,并自主判断与解释假说的有效性。TianJi表明,AI在地球系统科学中的角色正从‘黑箱预测者’转向‘可解释科学协作者’,为科学机制的高通量探索提供新范式。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Artificial intelligence (AI) has achieved breakthroughs comparable to traditional numerical models in data-driven weather forecasting, yet it remains essentially statistical fitting and struggles to uncover the physical causal mechanisms of the atmosphere. Physics-oriented mechanism research still heavily relies on domain knowledge and cumbersome engineering operations of human scientists, becoming a bottleneck restricting the efficiency of Earth system science exploration. Here, we propose TianJi - the first "AI meteorologist" system capable of autonomously driving complex numerical models to verify physical mechanisms. Powered by a large language model-driven multi-agent architecture, TianJi can autonomously conduct literature research and generate scientific hypotheses. We further decouple scientific research into cognitive planning and engineering execution: the meta-planner interprets hypotheses and devises experimental roadmaps, while a cohort of specialized worker agents collaboratively complete data preparation, model configuration, and multi-dimensional result analysis. In two classic atmospheric dynamic scenarios (squall-line cold pools and typhoon track deflections), TianJi accomplishes expert-level end-to-end experimental operations with zero human intervention, compressing the research cycle to a few hours. It also delivers detailed result analyses and autonomously judges and explains the validity of the hypotheses from outputs. TianJi reveals that the role of AI in Earth system science is transitioning from a "black-box predictor" to an "interpretable scientific collaborator", offering a new paradigm for high-throughput exploration of scientific mechanisms.

AI气象科学发现多智能体机制解释

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