arXiv:2603.28167cs.LG2026-03

用病历文本自动提升心房颤动早期预测准确率

Automating Early Disease Prediction Via Structured and Unstructured Clinical Data

  • 用自然语言处理从出院报告提取信息,自动完成患者筛选、数据生成和标签标注
  • 融合文本信息的模型预测准确率高于仅用结构化病历的数据,且优于传统临床评分
  • 适合需要高效整合非结构化医疗文本的研究者与临床决策支持系统开发者

本研究提出一种全自动的早期预测方法,利用非结构化出院报告中的信息。该流程通过自然语言处理技术,支持早期预测的三个关键步骤:队列选择、数据集构建和结果标注。通过对出院报告进行处理,可高效识别相关患者群体,向结构化数据中补充临床变量,并实现无须人工干预的高质量标签生成。该方法解决了电子健康记录(EHR)中常见缺失或不完整数据的问题,捕捉到常被忽略的临床信息。在心房颤动(AF)进展预测任务中,使用出院报告信息增强的数据集训练的模型,在准确率和与真实结果的相关性上均优于仅依赖结构化EHR数据的模型,且超越传统临床评分。结果表明,自动化整合非结构化临床文本能简化早期预测研究,提升数据质量,增强预测模型在临床决策中的可靠性。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

This study presents a fully automated methodology for early prediction studies in clinical settings, leveraging information extracted from unstructured discharge reports. The proposed pipeline uses discharge reports to support the three main steps of early prediction: cohort selection, dataset generation, and outcome labeling. By processing discharge reports with natural language processing techniques, we can efficiently identify relevant patient cohorts, enrich structured datasets with additional clinical variables, and generate high-quality labels without manual intervention. This approach addresses the frequent issue of missing or incomplete data in codified electronic health records (EHR), capturing clinically relevant information that is often underrepresented. We evaluate the methodology in the context of predicting atrial fibrillation (AF) progression, showing that predictive models trained on datasets enriched with discharge report information achieve higher accuracy and correlation with true outcomes compared to models trained solely on structured EHR data, while also surpassing traditional clinical scores. These results demonstrate that automating the integration of unstructured clinical text can streamline early prediction studies, improve data quality, and enhance the reliability of predictive models for clinical decision-making.

疾病预测自然语言处理电子病历临床决策

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