用历史轨迹生成虚拟测量,让水下无人艇在断联时也能准确定位。
Communication Outage-Resistant UUV State Estimation: A Variational History Distillation Approach
- 从历史轨迹中提炼模式,生成虚拟观测数据补全通信中断信息。
- 40秒断联后定位误差从170米降至15米,降低91%。
- 适合高动态海洋环境下的无人艇集群导航,抗干扰强。
无人水下航行器(UUV)集群的可靠运行高度依赖持续的声学通信,但该方式极易受间歇性中断影响。通信中断时,标准状态估计算法如无迹卡尔曼滤波(UKF)只能进行开环预测。若环境中存在未建模的动态因素(如未知海流),估计误差会迅速累积,最终导致任务失败。为此,本文提出变分历史蒸馏(VHD)方法。VHD将轨迹预测视为近似贝叶斯推理过程,将基于物理的标准运动模型与直接从UUV历史轨迹中提取的模式相结合,通过合成源自历史轨迹的“虚拟测量”实现。考虑到外推历史趋势的可靠性随预测时长增加而下降,引入自适应置信机制,使滤波器随通信中断时间延长逐步降低对虚拟测量的信任度。在高保真环境中的大量蒙特卡洛仿真表明,该方法在40秒通信中断期间将预测均方根误差(RMSE)降低91%,从约170米降至15米。结果证明,VHD可在完全通信丢失条件下维持鲁棒的状态估计性能。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
The reliable operation of Unmanned Underwater Vehicle (UUV) clusters is highly dependent on continuous acoustic communication. However, this communication method is highly susceptible to intermittent interruptions. When communication outages occur, standard state estimators such as the Unscented Kalman Filter (UKF) will be forced to make open-loop predictions. If the environment contains unmodeled dynamic factors, such as unknown ocean currents, this estimation error will grow rapidly, which may eventually lead to mission failure. To address this critical issue, this paper proposes a Variational History Distillation (VHD) approach. VHD regards trajectory prediction as an approximate Bayesian reasoning process, which links a standard motion model based on physics with a pattern extracted directly from the past trajectory of the UUV. This is achieved by synthesizing ``virtual measurements'' distilled from historical trajectories. Recognizing that the reliability of extrapolated historical trends degrades over extended prediction horizons, an adaptive confidence mechanism is introduced. This mechanism allows the filter to gradually reduce the trust of virtual measurements as the communication outage time is extended. Extensive Monte Carlo simulations in a high-fidelity environment demonstrate that the proposed method achieves a 91% reduction in prediction Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), reducing the error from approximately 170 m to 15 m during a 40-second communication outage. These results demonstrate that VHD can maintain robust state estimation performance even under complete communication loss.
Thank you to arXiv for use of its open access interoperability. PaperDance 不是 arXiv 官方产品;中文卡片由大模型生成,请以原文为准。