arXiv:2604.03924cs.CLcs.AI2026-04

用不确定性引导对话决策,让智能助手更高效地理解用户意图。

Uncertainty as a Planning Signal: Multi-Turn Decision Making for Goal-Oriented Conversation

论文配图:Uncertainty as a Planning Signal: Multi-Turn Decision Making for Goal-Oriented Conversation
图 1 · 摘自论文原文
  • 将对话中的不确定性作为规划信号,指导多轮决策。
  • 在多个基准上成功率提升,且交互轮次更少。
  • 适合需要精准判断与快速决策的客服类应用。

目标导向型对话系统需在用户意图不确定的情况下做出序列化决策,算法必须平衡信息获取与目标承诺。现有方法中,结构化方法虽支持多步规划但依赖预设模板,基于大模型的方法虽灵活却缺乏长程决策能力,导致信息获取与目标承诺协调不佳。为此,我们提出将目标导向对话建模为一种不确定性感知的序列决策问题,其中不确定性作为多轮决策的引导信号。我们设计了对话不确定性感知规划框架(CUP),融合语言模型与结构化规划:语言模型生成可行动作,规划器评估其对长期不确定性降低的影响。在多个对话基准上的实验表明,CUP在保持更高成功率的同时,显著减少交互轮次。进一步分析显示,不确定性感知规划有助于更高效的的信息获取和更早的自信承诺。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Goal-oriented conversational systems require making sequential decisions under uncertainty about the user's intent, where the algorithm must balance information acquisition and target commitment over multiple turns. Existing approaches address this challenge from different perspectives: structured methods enable multi-step planning but rely on predefined schemas, while LLM-based approaches support flexible interactions but lack long-horizon decision making, resulting in poor coordination between information acquisition and target commitment. To address this limitation, we formulate goal-oriented conversation as an uncertainty-aware sequential decision problem, where uncertainty serves as a guiding signal for multi-turn decision making. We propose a Conversation Uncertainty-aware Planning framework (CUP) that integrates language models with structured planning: a language model proposes feasible actions, and a planner evaluates their long-term impact on uncertainty reduction. Experiments on multiple conversational benchmarks show that CUP consistently improves success rates while requiring fewer interaction turns. Further analysis demonstrates that uncertainty-aware planning contributes to more efficient information acquisition and earlier confident commitment.

对话系统不确定性规划决策

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