用大模型解析糖尿病病例报告中的时间线,挖掘用药风险
Temporally Phenotyping GLP-1RA Case Reports with Large Language Models: A Textual Time Series Corpus and Risk Modeling

- 构建136例病例的文本时间序列数据集,标注临床事件时间点
- GPT5模型事件覆盖率达87.1%,时间顺序准确率84.3%
- 发现使用GLP-1药物者呼吸系统后遗症风险降低74%(HR=0.259)
2型糖尿病病例报告描述了复杂的临床过程,但其时间线常以难以复用的语言表达。为填补这一空白,我们构建了一个包含136篇涉及胰高血糖素样肽-1受体激动剂(GLP-1RA)的单患者病例报告的文本时间序列语料库,将临床事件关联到最可能的时间参考点。评估了自动化LLM时间线提取效果,对比临床专家标注的金标准,结果表明最佳模型GPT5在事件覆盖率(0.871)和症状、诊断、治疗、检验及结局的时间顺序准确性(0.843)方面表现优异。作为下游应用示例,时间至事件分析显示,与非使用者相比,GLP-1使用者呼吸系统后遗症风险显著降低(HR=0.259,p<0.05),与既往研究中改善呼吸结局的结论一致。时间标注数据与代码将在论文接受后公开。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Type 2 diabetes case reports describe complex clinical courses, but their timelines are often expressed in language that is difficult to reuse in longitudinal modeling. To address this gap, we developed a textual time-series corpus of 136 PubMed Open Access single-patient case reports involving glucagon-like peptide 1 receptor agonists, with clinical events associated with their most probable reference times. We evaluated automated LLM timeline extraction against gold-standard timelines annotated by clinical domain experts, assessing how well systems recovered clinical events and their timings. The best-performing LLM produced high event coverage (GPT5; 0.871) and reliable temporal sequencing across symptoms (GPT5; 0.843), diagnoses, treatments, laboratory tests, and outcomes. As a downstream demonstration, time-to-event analyses in diabetes suggested lower risk of respiratory sequelae among GLP-1 users versus non-users (HR=0.259, p<0.05), consistent with prior reports of improved respiratory outcomes. Temporal annotations and code will be released upon acceptance.
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