用自监督学习解决涡轮fan健康状态估计难题,更贴近真实运维场景。
A Machine Learning Framework for Turbofan Health Estimation via Inverse Problem Formulation
- 通过逆问题建模,从传感器数据反推部件健康指标。
- 在包含维修与使用变化的真实数据上,验证了传统滤波器仍为强基线。
- 提出无标签自监督方法,揭示健康估计的内在复杂性,适合工业界参考。
涡轮风扇发动机健康状态估计是一个受稀疏传感和复杂非线性热力学限制的困难反问题。该领域研究分散,比较受限于不切实际的数据集,且对时序信息利用不足。本文研究如何在真实的退化与维护模式下,从运行传感器数据中恢复组件级健康指标。为此,我们构建了一个包含维修事件和使用变化等工业级复杂性的新数据集。基于此数据集,建立了基准对比,评估了稳态与非平稳数据驱动模型、贝叶斯滤波器等经典方法。此外,引入自监督学习(SSL)方法,在无真实健康标签条件下学习潜在表示,反映真实运行约束。通过对比下游估计性能,确立了解决该反问题的实用下限。结果表明,传统滤波器仍是有力基线,而SSL方法揭示了健康估计的内在复杂性,凸显了对更先进可解释推理策略的需求。为保证可复现性,生成的数据集及实现代码均已公开。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Estimating the health state of turbofan engines is a challenging ill-posed inverse problem, hindered by sparse sensing and complex nonlinear thermodynamics. Research in this area remains fragmented, with comparisons limited by the use of unrealistic datasets and insufficient exploration of the exploitation of temporal information. This work investigates how to recover component-level health indicators from operational sensor data under realistic degradation and maintenance patterns. To support this study, we introduce a new dataset that incorporates industry-oriented complexities such as maintenance events and usage changes. Using this dataset, we establish an initial benchmark that compares steady-state and nonstationary data-driven models, and Bayesian filters, classic families of methods used to solve this problem. In addition to this benchmark, we introduce self-supervised learning (SSL) approaches that learn latent representations without access to true health labels, a scenario reflective of real-world operational constraints. By comparing the downstream estimation performance of these unsupervised representations against the direct prediction baselines, we establish a practical lower bound on the difficulty of solving this inverse problem. Our results reveal that traditional filters remain strong baselines, while SSL methods reveal the intrinsic complexity of health estimation and highlight the need for more advanced and interpretable inference strategies. For reproducibility, both the generated dataset and the implementation used in this work are made accessible.
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