arXiv:2604.08569cs.LG2026-04

针对高维交通仿真校准,提出记忆引导的贝叶斯优化方法。

Memory-Guided Trust-Region Bayesian Optimization (MG-TuRBO) for High Dimensions

论文配图:Memory-Guided Trust-Region Bayesian Optimization (MG-TuRBO) for High Dimensions
图 1 · 摘自论文原文
  • 引入记忆机制增强信任域贝叶斯优化,提升高维搜索效率。
  • 在84维问题上显著优于传统方法,收敛速度和稳定性更好。
  • 适合高维、昂贵、非凸的仿真校准任务,如数字孪生建模。

交通仿真与数字孪生校准是受限于仿真预算的优化难题,每次试验需昂贵的仿真运行,输入参数与模型误差间关系常呈非凸且含噪声,维度越高越困难。本文对比了遗传算法(GA)与贝叶斯优化方法(BOMs):经典贝叶斯优化(BO)、信任域贝叶斯优化(TuRBO)、Multi-TuRBO及提出的记忆引导信任域贝叶斯优化(MG-TuRBO)。在两个真实世界交通仿真校准任务中评估,分别涉及14维和84维决策变量。对于BOMs,测试了Thompson采样与一种新型自适应策略。评估指标包括最终校准质量、收敛行为及跨运行一致性。结果表明,在14维问题中BOMs明显快于GA;在84维问题中,MG-TuRBO配合自适应策略表现更优,尤其在稳定性和收敛速度上。研究显示,MG-TuRBO特别适用于高维交通仿真校准,或可推广至其他高维优化场景。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Traffic simulation and digital-twin calibration is a challenging optimization problem with a limited simulation budget. Each trial requires an expensive simulation run, and the relationship between calibration inputs and model error is often nonconvex, and noisy. The problem becomes more difficult as the number of calibration parameters increases. We compare a commonly used automatic calibration method, a genetic algorithm (GA), with Bayesian optimization methods (BOMs): classical Bayesian optimization (BO), Trust-Region BO (TuRBO), Multi-TuRBO, and a proposed Memory-Guided TuRBO (MG-TuRBO) method. We compare performance on 2 real-world traffic simulation calibration problems with 14 and 84 decision variables, representing lower- and higher-dimensional (14D and 84D) settings. For BOMs, we study two acquisition strategies, Thompson sampling and a novel adaptive strategy. We evaluate performance using final calibration quality, convergence behavior, and consistency across runs. The results show that BOMs reach good calibration targets much faster than GA in the lower-D problem. MG-TuRBO performs comparably in our 14D setting, it demonstrates noticeable advantages in the 84D problem, particularly when paired with our adaptive strategy. Our results suggest that MG-TuRBO is especially useful for high-D traffic simulation calibration and potentially for high-D problems in general.

贝叶斯优化高维优化交通仿真数字孪生

Thank you to arXiv for use of its open access interoperability. PaperDance 不是 arXiv 官方产品;中文卡片由大模型生成,请以原文为准。