针对工况变化的设备寿命预测,提出多头注意力融合网络。
A Multi-head Attention Fusion Network for Industrial Prognostics under Discrete Operational Conditions
- 用多头注意力融合退化趋势、工况状态和噪声信号
- 在NASA数据集上实现更优的剩余寿命预测精度
- 适合动态工况下的工业设备健康监测场景
飞机发动机、涡轮机和工业机械等复杂系统常在动态变化的工况下运行,这些工况显著影响退化行为,使寿命预测更加困难。为应对这一挑战,本文提出一种基于多头注意力的融合神经网络框架,显式建模并整合三类信号:(1) 单调退化趋势,反映系统内在劣化;(2) 离散操作状态,通过聚类识别并编码为稠密嵌入;(3) 残差随机噪声,捕捉传感器测量中未解释的变化。该框架核心是结合双向LSTM与注意力机制,以更好捕捉复杂时序依赖关系。注意力机制可自适应加权不同时步和传感器信号,提升对预测相关特征的提取能力。此外,设计了融合模块,整合退化趋势分支与操作状态嵌入的输出,有效捕获二者交互。在NASA公开数据集上验证,结果表明该方法具有有效性。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Complex systems such as aircraft engines, turbines, and industrial machinery often operate under dynamically changing conditions. These varying operating conditions can substantially influence degradation behavior and make prognostic modeling more challenging, as accurate prediction requires explicit consideration of operational effects. To address this issue, this paper proposes a novel multi-head attention-based fusion neural network. The proposed framework explicitly models and integrates three signal components: (1) the monotonic degradation trend, which reflects the underlying deterioration of the system; (2) discrete operating states, identified through clustering and encoded into dense embeddings; and (3) residual random noise, which captures unexplained variation in sensor measurements. The core strength of the framework lies in its architecture, which combines BiLSTM networks with attention mechanisms to better capture complex temporal dependencies. The attention mechanism allows the model to adaptively weight different time steps and sensor signals, improving its ability to extract prognostically relevant information. In addition, a fusion module is designed to integrate the outputs from the degradation-trend branch and the operating-state embeddings, enabling the model to capture their interactions more effectively. The proposed method is validated using a dataset from the NASA repository, and the results demonstrate its effectiveness.
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