arXiv:2604.10291cs.AI2026-04被引 1

用AI自动生成时间序列推理测试集,检验大模型真懂不懂时序数据。

TimeSeriesExamAgent: Creating Time Series Reasoning Benchmarks at Scale

论文配图:TimeSeriesExamAgent: Creating Time Series Reasoning Benchmarks at Scale
图 1 · 摘自论文原文
  • 用模板+LLM代理自动生成多样化时序推理题
  • 覆盖5类核心能力,支持医疗、金融、气象真实数据
  • 生成结果媲美人工构建,但模型仍表现有限

大型语言模型在时间序列建模任务中表现出色,但它们是否真正理解时序数据仍存疑。尽管已有多个基准测试,但多数为人工构建,且聚焦特定领域或技能。为此,我们提出可扩展的方法,通过结合模板灵活性与LLM代理的创造力,构建综合性时间序列推理基准。首先开发TimeSeriesExam,一个基于合成时序数据的多选题基准,评估模型在模式识别、噪声理解、相似性分析、异常检测和因果推理五类核心推理能力上的表现。随后,借助TimeSeriesExamAgent,从涵盖医疗、金融和气象领域的实际数据集中自动构建基准。通过多维度质量评估,我们证明自动生成的基准在多样性上可媲美人工构建版本。然而实验显示,现有大模型在抽象时序推理及领域应用中仍存在局限,凸显其有效理解时序数据的挑战。TimeSeriesExamAgent 已开源:https://github.com/magwiazda/TimeSeriesExamAgent。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Large Language Models (LLMs) have shown promising performance in time series modeling tasks, but do they truly understand time series data? While multiple benchmarks have been proposed to answer this fundamental question, most are manually curated and focus on narrow domains or specific skill sets. To address this limitation, we propose scalable methods for creating comprehensive time series reasoning benchmarks that combine the flexibility of templates with the creativity of LLM agents. We first develop TimeSeriesExam, a multiple-choice benchmark using synthetic time series to evaluate LLMs across five core reasoning categories: pattern recognitionnoise understandingsimilarity analysisanomaly detection, and causality. Then, with TimeSeriesExamAgent, we scale our approach by automatically generating benchmarks from real-world datasets spanning healthcare, finance and weather domains. Through multi-dimensional quality evaluation, we demonstrate that our automatically generated benchmarks achieve diversity comparable to manually curated alternatives. However, our experiments reveal that LLM performance remains limited in both abstract time series reasoning and domain-specific applications, highlighting ongoing challenges in enabling effective time series understanding in these models. TimeSeriesExamAgent is available at https://github.com/magwiazda/TimeSeriesExamAgent.

时序推理基准测试大模型评估自动化生成

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