用结构化推理框架提升医疗诊断大模型的可信度
From Answers to Arguments: Toward Trustworthy Clinical Diagnostic Reasoning with Toulmin-Guided Curriculum Goal-Conditioned Learning

- 基于图尔敏模型设计渐进式训练流程,强制模型生成有逻辑链的诊断论证
- 在T-Eval评估中达到与强化学习相当的推理质量,且训练更稳定高效
- 适合需要可解释性医疗AI的临床场景,尤其关注诊断过程透明度
将大语言模型(LLM)引入临床决策支持面临严重挑战:其推理过程不透明且不可靠。在高风险医疗领域,仅给出正确答案不足,必须确保诊断过程可追溯以保障患者安全和专业问责。当前主流模型常通过错误推理得出正确答案,这反映出根本性理解缺陷,易引发更广泛的幻觉与现实复杂情况下的失效。本文提出基于图尔敏模型的可信诊断推理框架,并设计新型渐进式目标条件训练(CGCL)流程,分三阶段逐步构建完整临床论证:(1) 提取事实并生成鉴别诊断;(2) 支持核心假设并反驳其他可能性;(3) 综合分析形成带限定的最终结论。通过T-Eval量化评估体系验证,本方法在诊断准确率与推理质量上媲美资源密集型强化学习,同时具备更稳定高效的训练特性。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
The integration of Large Language Models (LLMs) into clinical decision support is critically obstructed by their opaque and often unreliable reasoning. In the high-stakes domain of healthcare, correct answers alone are insufficient; clinical practice demands full transparency to ensure patient safety and enable professional accountability. A pervasive and dangerous weakness of current LLMs is their tendency to produce "correct answers through flawed reasoning." This issue is far more than a minor academic flaw; such process errors signal a fundamental lack of robust understanding, making the model prone to broader hallucinations and unpredictable failures when faced with real-world clinical complexity. In this paper, we establish a framework for trustworthy clinical argumentation by adapting the Toulmin model to the diagnostic process. We propose a novel training pipeline: Curriculum Goal-Conditioned Learning (CGCL), designed to progressively train LLM to generate diagnostic arguments that explicitly follow this Toulmin structure. CGCL's progressive three-stage curriculum systematically builds a solid clinical argument: (1) extracting facts and generating differential diagnoses; (2) justifying a core hypothesis while rebutting alternatives; and (3) synthesizing the analysis into a final, qualified conclusion. We validate CGCL using T-Eval, a quantitative framework measuring the integrity of the diagnosis reasoning. Experiments show that our method achieves diagnostic accuracy and reasoning quality comparable to resource-intensive Reinforcement Learning (RL) methods, while offering a more stable and efficient training pipeline.
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